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ALT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 63 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-31 → 2024-12-20

⚠️ Small sample size (63 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Altimmune, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 06, 2005 🔗 www.altimmune.com
💰 Market Cap: $573.9M 👥 Employees: 59
Altimmune Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing treatments for obesity, metabolic diseases, and liver diseases. Its product candidate, pemvidutide (formerly known as ALT-801), is a novel, investigational, peptide-based GLP-1/glucagon dual receptor agonist. Pemvidutide is currently in clinical development for obesity and metabolic-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). The company also plans to pursue additional indications for pemvidutide that leverage the differentiated clinical profile of pemvidutide.
📊
63
Total Alerts
🎯
54.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.50%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+8.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.12%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +10.28%
Worst: -10.62%
Trades: 28/35

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +3.87%
Avg Loser: -4.00%
Best: +14.99%
Worst: -20.13%
Trades: 29/33

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +4.49%
Avg Loser: -5.25%
Best: +16.02%
Worst: -25.58%
Trades: 33/29

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.0%
Avg Gain: +0.50%
Avg Winner: +6.12%
Avg Loser: -6.30%
Best: +23.89%
Worst: -28.17%
Trades: 34/28

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +10.06%
Avg Loser: -6.95%
Best: +25.86%
Worst: -38.02%
Trades: 27/36

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.82%
Best MFE: +39.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, ALT alerts reach +8.82% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.63%
Worst MAE: -9.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 63 alerts, ALT typically reaches +8.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 63
Gap Up % 36.5%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +2.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ALT compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALT: -0.32% Sector: -0.32% +0.00%
EOD Gain
ALT: +0.34% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480410.88%
Avg MFE
ALT: +8.82% Sector: +7.56% +1.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-20 09:29:40 $8.38 -1.67% -0.24% +0.18% +1.31% -1.55% +4.42% -2.39% -0.84% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:28:55 $8.15 +1.23% -1.99% -2.21% -2.23% +0.37% +3.93% -3.44% -0.61% WIN
2024-12-05 09:29:31 $10.04 -0.90% -1.99% -1.06% -5.18% -8.96% +0.70% -2.39% -0.20% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:29:39 $9.5 +9.03% +5.68% +7.68% +11.26% +3.68% +14.53% -3.26% -0.95% WIN
2024-11-13 09:26:52 $9.83 +1.42% +4.22% +6.00% +9.56% -3.15% +13.53% -2.65% -0.81% WIN
2024-11-12 09:29:06 $7.54 +10.28% +14.99% +12.86% +18.83% +25.86% +32.89% -1.06% +1.06% WIN
2024-11-07 09:27:46 $7.77 +0.19% -0.13% - -1.93% -3.99% +3.60% -0.64% -0.26% WIN
2024-09-30 09:25:28 $6.34 +0.79% +1.74% +1.26% +0.32% -3.15% +3.15% -1.10% -0.16% WIN
2024-08-07 09:29:38 $6.06 -2.48% -3.47% -4.54% -7.10% -9.24% +1.16% +0.17% +0.17% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:27:07 $5.45 -0.92% - +1.47% +0.73% +6.33% +11.56% -3.21% -0.92% LOSS
2024-06-25 09:27:42 $7.11 -4.08% -3.00% -5.32% -4.01% +4.22% +5.91% -7.03% - LOSS
2024-06-24 09:25:06 $7.36 +0.54% +8.70% +7.34% +10.39% -2.99% +15.35% -3.26% +1.49% WIN
2024-05-16 09:28:41 $9.22 +2.93% -2.16% -5.21% -3.47% -3.47% +3.04% -1.41% -0.87% WIN
2024-05-03 09:29:54 $7.39 +1.08% +1.35% +2.49% +0.81% -1.22% +3.25% -0.41% +0.27% WIN
2024-05-02 09:28:17 $7.16 -1.12% -1.54% -2.80% -4.40% +0.42% +2.65% -4.89% +0.28% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:25:45 $6.65 -0.53% +1.05% -0.23% +0.90% +6.32% +11.13% -1.50% -0.15% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:29:28 $6.87 -3.64% -3.20% -0.44% -1.75% -6.91% +0.29% -3.20% -0.15% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:28:16 $6.94 -1.44% -1.33% -0.76% +4.47% +3.75% +4.47% -2.31% -0.86% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:25:40 $9.85 -2.44% -2.95% -5.52% -4.21% -5.03% +1.22% +0.51% +0.51% LOSS
2024-04-01 09:25:58 $10.42 -0.10% +5.18% +0.29% -2.40% -1.82% +5.66% -2.75% -1.63% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.0% Baseline on ALT

The 54.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALT Strategy →

Why Analyze ALT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALT historically offers an average upside of +8.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.0%, ALT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALT performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.50%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.