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ALV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-22 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 28, 1997 🔗 www.autoliv.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.64B 👥 Employees: 65,200
Autoliv Inc is the world-wide leader in passive safety components and systems for the auto industry. Products include seat belts, frontal air bags, side-impact air bags, air bag inflators, and steering wheels. The Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi alliance is the company's customer, with Stellantis and Volkswagen. Americas derives maximum geographical revenue for the company.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.95%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.36%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -0.57%
Best: +3.49%
Worst: -1.23%
Trades: 5/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 5/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -1.75%
Trades: 4/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.95%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +3.52%
Worst: -0.75%
Trades: 6/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: +5.13%
Worst: -3.33%
Trades: 5/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.36%
Best MFE: +6.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, ALV alerts reach +2.36% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.82%
Worst MAE: -2.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.9:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.9x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, ALV typically reaches +2.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.28%
Best Gap +1.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES

How ALV compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ALV: +0.32% Sector: -0.68% +1.00%
EOD Gain
ALV: +0.57% Sector: +576.01% -575.44%
Avg MFE
ALV: +2.36% Sector: +7.31% -4.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ALV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:28:40 $93.12 -0.76% -1.12% -1.24% +2.16% +0.85% +3.30% -1.53% -0.18% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:25:05 $101.02 -1.23% -0.52% -1.75% -0.75% -3.33% +1.14% -2.19% -1.96% LOSS
2023-11-13 09:26:00 $97.79 -0.47% -0.79% -0.67% -0.34% -0.71% -0.07% -0.98% -0.57% LOSS
2023-10-20 09:29:00 $92.19 +3.49% +3.80% +3.68% +3.39% +4.66% +5.79% +0.03% +0.03% WIN
2023-07-21 09:25:00 $97.76 +1.38% +1.84% +2.73% +3.52% +5.13% +6.37% -0.02% +1.05% WIN
2023-03-06 09:27:00 $97.34 -0.02% -0.36% -0.53% -0.27% -1.23% +0.68% -0.31% +0.11% LOSS
2023-01-27 09:26:00 $90.66 +0.62% +1.49% +1.15% +0.99% +2.34% +3.44% -0.32% -0.25% WIN
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $86.36 +0.30% +0.43% +0.14% +0.30% +0.09% +0.85% +0.15% +0.32% WIN
2022-08-02 09:25:00 $84.45 +0.27% +0.09% -0.19% -0.27% -0.82% +0.56% -0.60% +0.21% WIN
2022-04-22 09:25:00 $72.83 -0.38% -0.97% -0.62% +0.74% -1.26% +1.59% -2.39% -1.55% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on ALV

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ALV's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ALV Strategy →

Why Analyze ALV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ALV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ALV historically offers an average upside of +2.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ALV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ALV shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ALV performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.95%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.