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AMPX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-16 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 15, 2022 🔗 www.amprius.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.46B 👥 Employees: 108
Amprius Technologies Inc is engaged in the production of silicon anodes for high-energy-density lithium-ion batteries. The company develops, manufactures and markets lithium-ion batteries for mobility applications, including the aviation, electric vehicle (EV) and light electric vehicle (LEV) industries. The company's batteries are used for existing and emerging aviation applications, including unmanned aerial systems, such as drones and high-altitude pseudo satellites.
📊
24
Total Alerts
🎯
45.8%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-1.21%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+11.94%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.49%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: +4.35%
Worst: -9.09%
Trades: 8/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +5.01%
Avg Loser: -7.01%
Best: +12.76%
Worst: -15.27%
Trades: 11/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -1.52%
Avg Winner: +8.11%
Avg Loser: -8.40%
Best: +19.84%
Worst: -18.42%
Trades: 10/14

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -1.19%
Avg Winner: +11.69%
Avg Loser: -10.39%
Best: +26.01%
Worst: -20.97%
Trades: 10/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +16.63%
Avg Loser: -10.74%
Best: +41.62%
Worst: -47.23%
Trades: 9/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.94%
Best MFE: +42.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 79 min

On average, AMPX alerts reach +11.94% profit potential within 79 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.01%
Worst MAE: -17.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.97:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.97x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, AMPX typically reaches +11.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 24
Gap Up % 29.2%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +1.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How AMPX compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMPX: -2.49% Sector: -0.46% -2.03%
EOD Gain
AMPX: -0.47% Sector: +197.82% -198.30%
Avg MFE
AMPX: +11.94% Sector: +6.28% +5.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMPX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:28:40 $3.06 -2.29% -2.94% -2.94% +2.61% +4.58% +7.19% -4.58% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:04 $3.55 -6.48% -6.76% -4.37% -6.76% -13.24% +1.55% -0.85% - LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:37 $3.57 -8.35% -12.18% -14.01% -11.90% -8.12% +2.24% -3.36% +0.84% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:26:43 $3.49 -5.73% -6.02% -6.59% -10.32% -6.88% - - -2.58% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:49 $3.2 +2.34% +9.69% +19.84% +20.16% +12.19% +29.38% +0.01% +0.62% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:36 $3.49 -4.58% +3.15% +7.49% +11.86% +10.03% +18.91% -5.44% +1.15% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:29:43 $3.02 -4.20% -3.81% -5.14% -11.26% -7.28% +11.26% -0.99% -0.66% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:27:24 $2.31 +2.79% +0.87% +4.55% +9.03% +29.00% +32.47% - +0.87% WIN
2024-12-27 09:28:46 $2.39 -7.03% -0.45% -0.36% -2.09% -1.26% +9.21% -8.16% - LOSS
2024-12-26 09:26:16 $1.96 -1.28% +12.76% +8.13% +21.43% +20.92% +23.47% -2.30% -2.04% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:29:49 $2.61 -7.58% -9.10% -8.81% -11.30% -10.34% +1.53% -3.13% +1.53% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:28:52 $2.3 +4.35% +5.25% +5.22% +8.26% +7.39% +14.78% -1.74% -0.87% WIN
2024-11-12 09:25:23 $2.75 -9.09% -15.27% -13.09% -12.67% -8.73% -1.45% -9.09% -1.45% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:25:27 $1.73 +2.31% +11.56% +12.72% +26.01% +41.62% +42.77% - - WIN
2024-10-07 09:26:36 $1.35 -7.41% -11.85% -12.05% -11.86% -1.48% +2.22% -17.78% -2.22% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:27:09 $1.15 -0.97% - +9.57% +9.56% +6.09% +17.39% -3.48% -0.87% LOSS
2023-03-24 09:27:00 $7.85 +0.64% +0.13% -3.82% -10.32% -4.46% +7.26% - +1.27% WIN
2022-10-27 09:25:00 $11.5 +2.61% +3.57% +3.35% +2.87% -4.61% +6.25% -0.52% +1.83% WIN
2022-10-25 09:25:00 $11.45 +0.28% +0.04% -6.55% -2.63% -2.18% +6.90% -7.77% -0.61% WIN
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $10.98 -1.29% -7.56% -13.47% -15.02% -13.93% +1.46% -1.64% -0.64% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AMPX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.8% win rate and -1.21% average gain, AMPX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AMPX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AMPX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMPX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMPX historically offers an average upside of +11.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMPX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.8%, AMPX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AMPX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AMPX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.21%). This suggests AMPX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.