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Latest signal:

W Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 110 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-21 → 2025-01-06

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2014 🔗 www.wayfair.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.31B 👥 Employees: 13,500
Wayfair engages in e-commerce in the United States (88% of 2024 sales), Canada, the United Kingdom, and Ireland. It's also embarked on expansion into the brick-and-mortar landscape, with a handful of stores between the AllModern, Birch Lane, Joss & Main, and Wayfair banners. At the end of 2024, the firm offered more than 30 million products from more than 20,000 suppliers under the brands Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, and Perigold. Its offerings include furniture, everyday and seasonal decor, decorative accents, housewares, as well as advertising and logistics services. Wayfair was founded in 2002 and began trading publicly in 2014.
📊
110
Total Alerts
🎯
54.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.83%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +7.14%
Worst: -3.23%
Trades: 56/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.50%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +9.32%
Worst: -5.07%
Trades: 51/59

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +3.17%
Avg Loser: -2.24%
Best: +22.69%
Worst: -7.92%
Trades: 51/59

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +3.40%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +18.52%
Worst: -12.90%
Trades: 51/59

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.83%
Avg Winner: +4.87%
Avg Loser: -4.02%
Best: +24.81%
Worst: -16.22%
Trades: 60/50

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.71%
Best MFE: +28.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 132 min

On average, W alerts reach +4.71% profit potential within 132 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.75%
Worst MAE: -6.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.75%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.69:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.69x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 110 alerts, W typically reaches +4.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 110
Gap Up % 41.8%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.84%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How W compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
W: +0.11% Sector: -0.09% +0.20%
EOD Gain
W: +0.89% Sector: +4.48% -3.59%
Avg MFE
W: +4.72% Sector: +3.91% +0.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical W alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:29:51 $46.14 +0.54% +1.77% +1.52% +3.13% +5.09% +6.09% -0.33% -0.30% WIN
2024-11-06 09:25:18 $40.74 +0.11% -4.66% -5.02% -3.53% -0.76% +0.61% -0.22% -0.66% WIN
2024-11-01 09:28:57 $42.19 -0.46% -0.71% -3.89% -0.02% -4.84% +3.08% -0.59% +0.19% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:29:58 $45.44 +1.54% +0.09% +3.17% -0.26% -2.33% +4.80% -2.38% - WIN
2024-08-02 09:25:28 $48.39 -0.42% -2.30% -1.59% -1.98% -1.28% +1.72% -3.31% -0.21% LOSS
2024-08-01 09:27:38 $48.95 +0.20% +6.07% +5.56% +7.76% +2.17% +12.20% -1.88% +1.90% WIN
2024-07-25 09:25:52 $48.44 -2.44% -1.18% -0.31% +1.84% +1.40% +4.98% -2.46% -1.78% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:28:53 $55.84 +1.25% +1.04% +2.33% -0.61% -3.22% +2.63% -1.41% -0.70% WIN
2024-07-11 09:26:50 $56.12 -1.55% -2.18% -0.76% -0.62% -1.55% +0.59% -2.65% -0.30% LOSS
2024-05-03 09:28:48 $61.03 +1.30% +2.30% +2.39% +0.94% +4.19% +4.28% -1.16% +1.15% WIN
2024-05-02 09:25:37 $59.3 +0.30% -5.07% -2.75% -5.50% -1.11% +1.18% -0.49% +1.18% WIN
2024-04-30 09:26:29 $51.77 +0.99% +1.27% +0.37% +1.02% -3.13% +2.22% -1.16% +0.70% WIN
2024-04-04 09:28:44 $65.72 -1.18% -1.23% -1.86% -1.02% -4.56% +0.73% -0.33% +0.27% LOSS
2024-04-01 09:28:41 $67.62 -3.03% -2.03% -1.82% -3.16% -2.62% -0.24% -2.40% -0.47% LOSS
2024-03-11 09:26:45 $60.8 -0.90% +0.02% -0.20% -0.90% -3.27% +0.82% -1.07% -0.55% LOSS
2024-03-06 09:29:35 $61.51 -0.42% -0.15% -1.91% -3.41% -2.71% +0.69% -0.33% -0.33% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:26:08 $51.61 +0.25% -0.81% +2.16% +0.70% +4.71% +6.37% -2.95% +1.24% WIN
2024-02-16 09:25:21 $53.45 -1.78% -3.93% -6.30% -4.83% -2.69% -0.21% -0.75% -1.10% LOSS
2024-02-13 09:25:03 $50.85 -0.85% -0.69% -1.95% -1.51% -0.87% +1.33% -2.93% +0.87% LOSS
2024-02-06 09:26:08 $49.48 -1.93% -0.16% -0.20% +0.24% +2.38% +2.43% -2.69% -1.31% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.5% Baseline on W

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push W's performance to 75%+.

Optimize W Strategy →

Why Analyze W with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for W. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, W historically offers an average upside of +4.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 W Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, W shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show W performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.83%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.