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APA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 101 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2024-11-08

🏢 Company Profile

APA Corporation Common Stock CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 27, 1969 🔗 www.apacorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.15B 👥 Employees: 2,305
APA Corp is an independent exploration and production company. It develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The Company's business has oil and gas operations in three geographic areas: the United States (U.S.), Egypt, and offshore the U.K. in the North Sea (North Sea). APA also has active development, exploration, and appraisal operations ongoing in Suriname, as well as exploration interests in Uruguay, Alaska, and other international locations.
📊
101
Total Alerts
🎯
57.4%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.16%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.6%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +1.70%
Worst: -3.21%
Trades: 40/60

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +3.89%
Worst: -4.69%
Trades: 48/52

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.4%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +6.08%
Worst: -5.20%
Trades: 58/42

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.4%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +7.11%
Worst: -4.93%
Trades: 56/45

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.5%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.63%
Avg Loser: -2.66%
Best: +6.99%
Worst: -12.72%
Trades: 54/46

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.63%
Best MFE: +8.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 158 min

On average, APA alerts reach +2.63% profit potential within 158 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.06%
Worst MAE: -4.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 101 alerts, APA typically reaches +2.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 101
Gap Up % 43.6%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +1.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How APA compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
APA: -0.11% Sector: -0.16% +0.05%
EOD Gain
APA: +0.19% Sector: +59.69% -59.50%
Avg MFE
APA: +2.63% Sector: +2.88% -0.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical APA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-08 09:28:40 $22.17 -0.02% -0.68% -0.99% -2.64% -1.80% +0.36% -1.08% -0.90% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:25:36 $23.8 -0.04% -0.04% -0.25% -0.42% -2.98% +0.76% -0.21% -0.21% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:11 $23.8 +1.22% -0.13% +0.19% +0.13% -0.42% +1.43% -0.59% - WIN
2024-04-10 09:28:45 $34.87 +0.03% -0.75% -0.69% -0.46% +0.52% +0.87% -1.41% -1.12% WIN
2024-03-08 09:26:18 $30.6 +0.13% +1.18% +0.96% +0.59% +0.69% +1.73% -0.23% -0.16% WIN
2023-11-22 09:26:00 $34.99 -0.89% +0.86% +0.94% +2.23% +4.49% +4.62% -0.97% -0.51% LOSS
2023-10-09 09:26:00 $38.79 -0.03% +1.19% +0.80% +0.80% +0.98% +1.75% -0.67% +0.36% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:29:00 $37.07 +0.57% +1.08% +1.46% +1.38% +1.19% +1.81% -0.73% -0.51% WIN
2023-07-05 09:29:00 $34.35 -0.32% -1.48% -0.58% -0.49% - +0.35% -0.26% +0.12% LOSS
2023-05-31 09:27:00 $31.19 +0.61% -0.62% -0.59% -0.29% +1.89% +2.10% -1.67% -0.26% WIN
2023-04-03 09:27:00 $38.3 +1.70% +2.11% +2.14% +1.54% +2.35% +3.05% -0.23% -0.16% WIN
2023-03-13 09:29:00 $34.42 -1.34% -0.41% +0.64% +1.02% +0.29% +3.92% -1.68% +0.67% LOSS
2023-02-23 09:26:00 $39.47 +1.57% -0.81% +0.91% -0.25% -0.89% +1.93% -0.28% +1.17% WIN
2023-02-10 09:28:00 $41.83 +0.19% +0.23% +0.97% +1.40% +4.14% +4.33% -0.07% +0.12% WIN
2023-02-07 09:28:00 $42.17 -0.09% -0.88% -0.21% -1.17% +3.60% +3.75% -1.57% +0.36% LOSS
2023-01-19 09:29:00 $43.8 +0.09% -0.65% -0.47% -0.41% +3.10% +3.49% -1.00% -0.32% WIN
2022-11-30 09:25:00 $47.35 +0.19% -0.17% -0.68% -2.09% -1.06% +0.63% -0.04% +0.25% WIN
2022-11-29 09:25:00 $45.82 +1.24% +1.79% +0.81% +1.87% +1.68% +2.66% -0.26% +0.17% WIN
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $44.54 -0.20% -0.26% +0.91% +0.97% +0.94% +2.11% -1.77% +0.65% LOSS
2022-11-23 09:25:00 $46.99 -0.68% +0.83% +1.02% -0.43% -0.45% +1.68% -1.43% -0.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.4% Baseline on APA

The 57.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push APA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize APA Strategy →

Why Analyze APA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, APA historically offers an average upside of +2.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 APA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.4%, APA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show APA performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.