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APLE Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-09-07 → 2025-01-24
⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, APLE alerts reach +0.99% profit potential within 147 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.28%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.49x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, APLE typically reaches +0.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
How APLE compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical APLE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-24 | 09:27:41 | $15.26 | -0.13% | -0.07% | -0.26% | +0.03% | -0.66% | +0.72% | -0.39% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:26:58 | $15.18 | -0.26% | -0.26% | -0.07% | -0.20% | +0.53% | +0.59% | -0.46% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-13 | 09:26:41 | $15.87 | +0.38% | +0.32% | +0.13% | +0.44% | +0.13% | +1.00% | -0.25% | +0.38% | WIN |
| 2024-06-12 | 09:27:19 | $14.49 | +0.83% | +1.83% | +1.93% | +2.59% | +1.38% | +2.90% | +0.76% | +0.90% | WIN |
| 2024-04-02 | 09:25:15 | $16.19 | -0.25% | -0.31% | - | -0.53% | +0.37% | +0.37% | -0.93% | -0.49% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:25:00 | $17.63 | -1.11% | -2.21% | -2.33% | -2.35% | -2.78% | +0.06% | -1.19% | -1.19% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-21 | 09:26:00 | $16.45 | - | -0.36% | -0.79% | -1.22% | -1.46% | +0.18% | -0.18% | +0.18% | - |
| 2023-09-07 | 09:26:00 | $15.8 | +0.63% | +1.04% | +1.96% | +1.61% | +1.46% | +2.09% | +0.38% | +0.76% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ APLE Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 62.5% win rate, APLE has -0.13% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making APLE profitable.
🔧 Fix APLE Risk/Reward →Why Analyze APLE with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APLE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, APLE historically offers an average upside of +0.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 APLE Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, APLE shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.63%) outweigh average wins (+0.77%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: APLE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.13%). This suggests APLE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.