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APTV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2025-01-22

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 17, 2011 🔗 www.aptiv.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.52B 👥 Employees: 141,000
Aptiv PLC signal and power solutions segment supplies components and systems that make up a vehicle's electrical system, including wiring assemblies and harnesses, connectors, electrical centers, and hybrid electrical systems. The operating segments are grouped on the basis of similar product, market and operating factors: Signal and Power Solutions, which includes complete electrical architecture and component products. advanced Safety and User Experience, which includes vehicle technology and services in advanced safety, user experience, and smart vehicle computing and software, as well as cloud-native software platforms, autonomous driving technologies, and DevOps tools. Eliminations and Other.
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
63.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.36%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +1.53%
Worst: -1.84%
Trades: 7/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +1.91%
Worst: -5.22%
Trades: 5/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -1.97%
Best: +3.00%
Worst: -6.53%
Trades: 5/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.89%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -2.53%
Best: +2.39%
Worst: -9.75%
Trades: 5/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.91%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -3.35%
Best: +3.16%
Worst: -10.85%
Trades: 5/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.36%
Best MFE: +3.91%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, APTV alerts reach +1.36% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -2.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, APTV typically reaches +1.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 54.5%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +1.20%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES

How APTV compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
APTV: +0.11% Sector: -0.68% +0.79%
EOD Gain
APTV: -0.91% Sector: +576.01% -576.92%
Avg MFE
APTV: +1.36% Sector: +7.31% -5.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical APTV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:26:22 $66.1 -1.29% -2.01% -2.26% -3.16% -5.10% -0.82% -2.28% -1.47% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:25:50 $63.75 -1.84% -5.22% -6.53% -9.75% -10.85% - -0.28% -2.07% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:27:01 $67.0 +0.87% -0.01% +0.64% +1.57% +3.16% +3.91% -0.88% - WIN
2024-07-12 09:26:32 $71.75 +0.04% +0.36% -0.36% +0.13% +1.35% +1.55% -0.57% - WIN
2024-06-27 09:29:05 $67.17 +0.88% +1.91% +3.00% +2.39% +2.69% +3.32% +0.34% +0.34% WIN
2024-05-10 09:29:44 $83.69 +0.97% +0.09% +0.22% -0.30% -1.09% +1.25% +0.01% +0.01% WIN
2024-03-25 09:29:51 $78.72 +0.84% +1.23% +0.86% -0.28% +0.47% +1.47% +0.06% +0.60% WIN
2024-03-01 09:29:09 $79.28 -0.45% -0.68% -0.33% -0.10% -0.29% +0.49% -0.57% +0.44% LOSS
2023-12-05 09:25:00 $82.82 -0.56% -1.47% -1.56% -1.58% -2.38% -0.31% -1.03% -0.76% LOSS
2022-12-19 09:25:00 $93.49 +0.24% -0.33% -0.77% +0.25% -0.41% +0.70% +0.24% +0.26% WIN
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $136.67 +1.53% +0.87% +0.36% +1.05% +2.43% +3.36% -0.90% +1.20% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.6% Baseline on APTV

The 63.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push APTV's performance to 75%+.

Optimize APTV Strategy →

Why Analyze APTV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APTV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, APTV historically offers an average upside of +1.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 APTV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.6%, APTV shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show APTV performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.