Latest signal:
AVAV Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-09-06 → 2024-12-05
⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AVAV alerts reach +9.11% profit potential within 51 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.01%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.05x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, AVAV typically reaches +9.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT
How AVAV compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AVAV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-05 | 09:29:22 | $173.87 | +1.23% | -0.67% | +0.13% | -3.76% | -4.74% | +4.00% | -1.32% | +0.65% | WIN |
| 2024-03-05 | 09:28:00 | $151.66 | +1.04% | +2.93% | +7.47% | +7.48% | +10.21% | +13.21% | -1.02% | -0.67% | WIN |
| 2023-09-06 | 09:29:00 | $112.9 | +4.70% | +7.76% | +8.62% | +8.38% | +1.90% | +10.12% | -0.68% | +0.23% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AVAV
The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AVAV's performance to 75%+.
Optimize AVAV Strategy →Why Analyze AVAV with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVAV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVAV historically offers an average upside of +9.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AVAV Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AVAV shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AVAV performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.32%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.