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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$AVB

Trade-Ideas alerts 55.6% at EOD n=9 2022-04-07 → 2026-06-17

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 9 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 10, 1994 🔗 www.avalonbay.com
💰 Market Cap: $26.28B 👥 Employees: 3,041
AvalonBay Communities owns a portfolio of 296 apartment communities with more than 90,000 units and is developing 24 additional properties with approximately 8,600 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties in major metropolitan areas of New England, New York/New Jersey, Washington, D.C., California, and the Pacific Northwest.
Total alerts
9
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
55.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.18%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.62%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AVB on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.54%
Worst: -0.90%
Trades: 4/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +0.86%
Worst: -1.08%
Trades: 3/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -1.26%
Trades: 2/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +1.05%
Worst: -1.50%
Trades: 2/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +1.09%
Worst: -2.93%
Trades: 5/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.62%
Best MFE: +2.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 156 min

On average, AVB alerts reach +0.62% profit potential within 156 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.49%
Worst MAE: -1.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.27:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, AVB typically reaches +0.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.08%
Best Gap +1.51%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How AVB compares to 142 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AVB: +0.05% Sector: -0.14% +0.19%
EOD Gain
AVB: -0.18% Sector: +193744.22% -193744.40%
Avg MFE
AVB: +0.62% Sector: +2.32% -1.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-17 09:25:00 $185.05 -0.01% -0.14% -1.21% -1.48% -2.93% +0.04% -0.23% -0.22% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $187.03 -0.23% -0.58% -0.28% -0.22% -1.36% +0.07% -0.72% -0.23% LOSS
2026-05-12 09:25:00 $187.27 +0.37% -0.60% -0.97% -0.68% -0.13% +0.40% +0.17% +0.40% WIN
2024-09-11 09:28:34 $228.38 -0.80% -0.56% -0.81% -1.50% +0.69% +0.85% -1.55% -0.40% LOSS
2024-09-09 09:28:01 $223.6 +0.28% +0.01% +0.23% -0.04% +0.85% +1.10% -0.25% +0.45% WIN
2024-09-06 09:26:51 $222.2 -0.12% -0.39% -0.56% -0.41% +0.63% +0.73% -0.77% +0.12% LOSS
2024-08-12 09:26:22 $211.93 -0.90% -1.08% -1.26% -1.34% -1.21% -0.89% -1.33% -0.90% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $168.38 +1.54% +0.86% +0.64% +1.05% +1.09% +2.14% +0.84% +1.51% WIN
2022-04-07 09:25:00 $247.51 +0.32% +0.17% -0.09% +0.23% +0.74% +1.18% -0.60% +0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ AVB Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.6% win rate, AVB has -0.18% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making AVB profitable.

🔧 Fix AVB Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze AVB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVB historically offers an average upside of +0.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, AVB shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.41%) outweigh average wins (+0.80%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AVB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.18%). This suggests AVB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.