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AVTX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 136 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2024-04-02

🏢 Company Profile

Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 13, 2015 🔗 www.avalotx.com
💰 Market Cap: $291.6M 👥 Employees: 23
Avalo Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the treatment of immune dysregulation. The company's asset is AVTX-009, an anti-IL-1B monoclonal antibody ("mAb"), targeting inflammatory diseases. Avalo's pipeline also includes quisovalimab (anti-LIGHT mAb) and AVTX-008 (BTLA agonist fusion protein).
📊
136
Total Alerts
🎯
63.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+12688.36%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.0%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +10.01%
Worst: -12.50%
Trades: 53/77

15MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -1.17%
Avg Winner: +3.76%
Avg Loser: -3.30%
Best: +32.50%
Worst: -19.59%
Trades: 40/94

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.8%
Avg Gain: -1.27%
Avg Winner: +4.38%
Avg Loser: -4.21%
Best: +23.70%
Worst: -24.48%
Trades: 46/89

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.7%
Avg Gain: -2.42%
Avg Winner: +4.95%
Avg Loser: -5.38%
Best: +28.73%
Worst: -22.24%
Trades: 39/97

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 63.2%
Avg Gain: +12688.36%
Avg Winner: +20069.95%
Avg Loser: -8.30%
Best: +245842.54%
Worst: -33.33%
Trades: 86/48

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.53%
Best MFE: +126.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 80 min

On average, AVTX alerts reach +7.53% profit potential within 80 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.63%
Worst MAE: -26.49%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.87:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.87x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 136 alerts, AVTX typically reaches +7.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 136
Gap Up % 47.8%
Avg Gap +0.12%
Best Gap +9.95%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How AVTX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AVTX: -0.45% Sector: -0.32% -0.13%
EOD Gain
AVTX: +12688.36% Sector: +4480411.22% -4467722.86%
Avg MFE
AVTX: +7.53% Sector: +7.56% -0.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVTX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-02 09:25:14 $15.16 -1.39% +2.90% +13.42% +13.06% - +14.30% -4.35% -1.06% LOSS
2024-04-01 09:25:16 $18.19 +5.28% +13.06% +19.74% +5.83% -1.59% +23.53% -4.87% +9.95% WIN
2024-03-28 09:28:01 $18.61 -1.52% -8.65% +13.38% +27.73% +16.87% +85.17% -10.53% +0.48% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:27:00 $0.05 -3.22% -0.57% -2.27% -3.79% +22309.09% - -0.38% -5.30% LOSS
2023-12-27 09:29:00 $0.05 -0.13% -2.63% -3.85% -2.63% +5.26% +6.07% -10.93% -0.81% LOSS
2023-12-26 09:25:00 $0.06 +0.89% +2.12% +0.89% +1.58% +21988.50% +4.25% - - WIN
2023-12-22 09:25:00 $0.05 +4.45% +4.64% +14.12% +1.74% +25896.13% +14.12% +0.58% +3.87% WIN
2023-12-21 09:25:00 $0.06 +0.09% -3.42% -4.27% -8.21% +20412.82% +9.06% - +2.22% WIN
2023-12-20 09:29:00 $0.05 -2.96% -4.02% -6.55% -5.92% +21718.18% +0.85% -0.63% +0.85% LOSS
2023-12-19 09:25:00 $0.05 -0.41% -6.48% -3.91% -7.00% +22616.05% +0.82% +0.62% -0.21% LOSS
2023-12-18 09:28:00 $0.06 -2.01% -6.20% -7.04% -9.72% -20.44% - - - LOSS
2023-12-15 09:28:00 $0.07 +10.01% -3.58% -1.15% -8.44% +20500.86% +10.44% -1.29% +3.00% WIN
2023-12-14 09:25:00 $0.06 +3.61% +32.50% +23.70% +28.73% +25294.03% +44.43% -2.35% - WIN
2023-12-13 09:27:00 $0.03 -0.86% -1.72% -0.14% +2.30% +40589.66% +126.72% -3.74% -3.74% LOSS
2023-12-12 09:26:00 $0.04 -1.50% -4.24% -3.24% -11.60% -13.47% - -0.12% -0.25% LOSS
2023-12-11 09:25:00 $0.05 +1.53% -1.15% -3.83% -10.15% -22.41% +4.02% -0.38% +3.45% WIN
2023-12-08 09:25:00 $0.06 -0.50% +0.33% +0.83% +0.17% -12.25% +1.32% -0.66% -0.66% LOSS
2023-12-07 09:25:00 $0.06 -2.01% -2.63% -2.79% -2.79% +22413.93% +0.15% -2.17% +0.15% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $0.06 -2.10% -3.80% -3.07% -4.37% +24832.04% +5.18% -5.02% -2.91% LOSS
2023-12-05 09:27:00 $0.06 +1.83% +4.49% +5.98% +3.99% +0.33% +6.15% -0.33% +2.99% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.2% Baseline on AVTX

The 63.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AVTX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AVTX Strategy →

Why Analyze AVTX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVTX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVTX historically offers an average upside of +7.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVTX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.2%, AVTX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AVTX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +12688.36%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.