FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

BFRI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 35 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-10

⚠️ Small sample size (35 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Biofrontera Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 29, 2021 🔗 www.biofrontera-us.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.6M 👥 Employees: 93
Biofrontera Inc is a United States-based biopharmaceutical company commercializing a portfolio of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of dermatological conditions with a focus on photodynamic therapy. The Company's licensed products, which include Ameluz as well as the BF-RhodoLED and RhodoLED XL lamps (together, the RhodoLED Lamps), are used for the treatment of actinic keratoses (AKs), which are pre-cancerous skin lesions.
📊
35
Total Alerts
🎯
48.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.26%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+8.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.94%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +6.96%
Worst: -4.18%
Trades: 17/16

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +4.14%
Avg Loser: -2.69%
Best: +20.57%
Worst: -7.60%
Trades: 15/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +3.73%
Avg Loser: -3.77%
Best: +12.86%
Worst: -9.56%
Trades: 15/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.99%
Avg Winner: +5.59%
Avg Loser: -4.79%
Best: +16.01%
Worst: -11.20%
Trades: 12/21

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: +446.04%
Avg Winner: +1090.33%
Avg Loser: -5.23%
Best: +2357.14%
Worst: -16.44%
Trades: 14/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.71%
Best MFE: +31.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, BFRI alerts reach +8.71% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.74%
Worst MAE: -8.70%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.74%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 35 alerts, BFRI typically reaches +8.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 35
Gap Up % 31.4%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +4.73%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How BFRI compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BFRI: +0.33% Sector: -0.32% +0.65%
EOD Gain
BFRI: +398.07% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480013.15%
Avg MFE
BFRI: +8.77% Sector: +7.56% +1.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BFRI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:26:31 $1.16 -0.43% -0.69% -3.43% -11.20% -3.45% - -0.86% -0.86% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:26:46 $1.13 +1.77% -3.53% -5.71% -7.96% -6.19% +3.54% -3.54% +3.54% WIN
2024-12-11 09:25:50 $1.15 +5.22% +1.74% -0.87% -6.96% +3.48% +9.03% -8.70% +1.74% WIN
2024-11-25 09:28:09 $0.88 +1.12% +0.09% -7.06% -1.15% +4.56% +15.90% -7.86% -0.02% WIN
2024-11-06 09:28:18 $0.94 +1.55% +1.86% -1.60% -5.32% -6.09% +5.57% -0.96% +3.19% WIN
2024-11-05 09:26:38 $0.98 +0.01% -2.03% -1.84% -0.19% -0.20% +8.17% -2.03% +1.03% WIN
2024-11-04 09:29:33 $1.0 +2.50% -0.79% +4.01% +2.00% - +6.00% -2.00% - WIN
2024-11-01 09:27:31 $1.15 +6.96% -0.86% -5.22% -2.58% -5.22% +8.70% -0.87% +1.74% WIN
2024-10-07 09:25:18 $1.04 -2.88% -7.60% -9.56% -10.41% -16.44% -0.96% -2.88% -1.92% LOSS
2023-06-21 09:27:00 $0.47 +1.76% +1.84% +4.95% +9.19% +26.37% +26.37% -1.05% +4.73% WIN
2023-06-20 09:29:00 $0.51 +4.23% +12.47% +1.59% -1.69% +2016.00% +31.93% -2.26% -2.26% WIN
2023-05-12 09:27:00 $0.57 -0.47% -2.25% -2.22% -10.81% +1307.02% - - - LOSS
2022-08-26 09:25:00 $1.19 -1.68% +0.42% +1.67% +2.53% +1967.23% +14.29% -2.39% -0.84% LOSS
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $1.41 -1.42% -0.72% -0.71% +0.62% +1900.00% +1.42% -5.67% -2.13% LOSS
2022-07-27 09:25:00 $1.59 -1.89% -6.18% -3.14% -8.80% -9.43% +0.63% -2.52% +0.63% LOSS
2022-07-25 09:25:00 $1.88 +1.52% +5.32% +1.86% - -5.85% +6.91% -5.32% - WIN
2022-07-18 09:25:00 $1.68 - -1.19% -2.40% -1.19% -1.79% +4.17% - +1.79% -
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $2.08 -0.93% -6.12% -4.81% -3.85% -12.98% +0.96% -0.96% -0.48% LOSS
2022-07-12 09:25:00 $1.86 +1.70% +1.61% +0.53% - +2029.03% +15.05% -4.30% -0.54% WIN
2022-04-14 09:25:00 $4.38 -0.68% -0.19% +3.18% -0.91% -4.11% +7.99% -1.83% +0.46% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 48.6% Baseline on BFRI

The 48.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BFRI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BFRI Strategy →

Why Analyze BFRI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BFRI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BFRI historically offers an average upside of +8.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BFRI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.6%, BFRI shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BFRI performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.26%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.