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BMBL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 23 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-17

⚠️ Small sample size (23 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2021 🔗 www.bumble.com
💰 Market Cap: $399.1M 👥 Employees: 1,200
Bumble Inc is engaged in offering online dating services. The platform enables people to connect and build healthy and equitable relationships on their own terms. The company operates two apps, Bumble and Badoo, where users come every month to discover new people and connect. The company Operates in USA and also Internationally such as United Kingdom, Czech Republic, and others with maximum of revenue from Other Countries.
📊
23
Total Alerts
🎯
69.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+1.74%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+6.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.75%
Avg Winner: +2.86%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +8.21%
Worst: -7.06%
Trades: 11/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.99%
Avg Winner: +3.07%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: +11.68%
Worst: -7.53%
Trades: 13/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 69.6%
Avg Gain: +1.74%
Avg Winner: +3.70%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +15.57%
Worst: -7.08%
Trades: 16/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 69.6%
Avg Gain: +2.80%
Avg Winner: +5.52%
Avg Loser: -3.41%
Best: +19.71%
Worst: -8.35%
Trades: 16/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.9%
Avg Gain: +1.88%
Avg Winner: +5.93%
Avg Loser: -4.42%
Best: +14.43%
Worst: -9.41%
Trades: 14/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.75%
Best MFE: +23.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, BMBL alerts reach +6.75% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.25%
Worst MAE: -4.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.42:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.42x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, BMBL typically reaches +6.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 23
Gap Up % 34.8%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +4.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How BMBL compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BMBL: +0.75% Sector: -0.08% +0.82%
EOD Gain
BMBL: +1.88% Sector: +7112.19% -7110.32%
Avg MFE
BMBL: +6.75% Sector: +3.14% +3.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BMBL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-17 09:27:48 $8.5 -7.06% -7.53% -6.35% -8.35% -9.41% +1.29% - - LOSS
2024-10-21 09:26:28 $7.33 +0.55% +0.82% +2.18% +0.14% -0.82% +3.27% -0.41% -0.27% WIN
2024-10-17 09:26:43 $7.01 -1.50% -0.86% -0.93% -1.43% +1.85% +2.14% -2.57% -0.57% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:25:59 $6.8 -0.88% +0.29% +1.10% +1.18% +1.47% +3.24% -1.32% -0.44% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:26:33 $6.0 -0.25% +0.42% +0.25% -0.50% -4.67% +1.33% -1.09% -0.83% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:25:48 $4.99 +7.92% +0.82% +0.90% +3.11% +14.43% +16.03% -3.81% -0.20% WIN
2024-02-28 09:29:34 $11.7 +8.21% +4.77% +4.06% +1.88% -4.02% +9.06% +0.17% +0.43% WIN
2023-12-13 09:29:00 $14.36 +0.49% -0.28% +0.56% +1.71% +5.22% +5.36% -0.77% -0.14% WIN
2023-12-11 09:26:00 $14.05 -0.60% +0.07% +0.64% +0.57% +3.84% +4.13% -1.00% -0.71% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $12.33 +5.84% +11.68% +15.57% +13.87% +12.00% +17.84% -0.08% +4.30% WIN
2023-11-06 09:28:00 $12.62 -1.66% +0.32% +0.63% +1.31% +3.57% +4.75% -2.61% - LOSS
2023-03-03 09:27:00 $22.88 -0.31% -0.44% -1.57% -2.10% -2.19% +0.09% -0.13% - LOSS
2023-01-24 09:27:00 $24.21 +0.83% +0.81% +1.65% +1.07% +0.91% +2.56% -0.29% +0.21% WIN
2023-01-05 09:28:00 $20.1 -0.15% -1.19% -0.32% -0.90% -2.24% +1.04% -2.04% +0.40% LOSS
2023-01-04 09:27:00 $20.2 +1.66% +3.71% +2.60% +1.58% +1.49% +4.13% +1.29% +2.03% WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $20.4 -0.49% - +7.35% +15.81% +12.89% +17.40% -2.40% -0.10% LOSS
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $32.73 +1.16% +6.61% +4.80% +5.32% -3.70% +7.76% -1.19% +0.73% WIN
2022-05-12 09:25:00 $19.65 -0.97% -1.83% +7.66% +19.71% +13.79% +23.21% -4.27% -2.34% LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $23.31 +1.29% -3.71% -7.08% -6.03% -7.21% +1.76% -0.30% +0.26% WIN
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $22.93 +1.24% +2.01% +4.49% +8.36% +1.35% +10.51% -0.65% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 69.6% Baseline on BMBL

The 69.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BMBL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BMBL Strategy →

Why Analyze BMBL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BMBL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BMBL historically offers an average upside of +6.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BMBL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 69.6%, BMBL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BMBL performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.74%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.