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BMY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 118 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-10

🏢 Company Profile

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 23, 1952 🔗 www.bms.com
💰 Market Cap: $111.25B 👥 Employees: 34,100
Bristol-Myers Squibb discovers, develops, and markets drugs for various therapeutic areas, such as cardiovascular, cancer, and immune disorders. A key focus for Bristol is immuno-oncology, where the firm is a leader in drug development. Bristol derives close to 70% of total sales from the US, showing a higher dependence on the US market than most of its peer group.
📊
118
Total Alerts
🎯
51.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.20%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 60/56

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +4.45%
Worst: -2.53%
Trades: 59/57

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +4.49%
Worst: -4.16%
Trades: 57/59

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +3.44%
Worst: -4.30%
Trades: 59/58

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +4.69%
Worst: -5.80%
Trades: 46/70

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.20%
Best MFE: +5.02%
Avg Time to MFE: 90 min

On average, BMY alerts reach +1.20% profit potential within 90 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -2.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.74:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.74x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 118 alerts, BMY typically reaches +1.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 118
Gap Up % 45.8%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +3.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How BMY compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BMY: +0.05% Sector: -0.32% +0.37%
EOD Gain
BMY: -0.13% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480411.35%
Avg MFE
BMY: +1.21% Sector: +7.56% -6.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BMY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:47 $56.89 -1.26% -1.80% -2.71% -3.26% -2.39% - -0.07% -0.16% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:26:58 $57.77 +0.73% +0.93% +1.49% +1.79% -0.61% +2.79% -1.49% -0.69% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:25 $57.0 -1.32% -1.06% -0.84% -0.30% +0.16% +0.68% -1.84% -0.89% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:26:22 $55.29 +1.10% +0.49% +0.69% +0.90% +0.81% +1.25% - +0.38% WIN
2025-01-07 09:27:08 $56.66 -0.16% +1.04% +1.61% +0.92% +0.85% +1.78% -0.25% +0.04% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:25:37 $56.08 +0.36% +0.32% +0.39% +0.54% +2.23% +2.67% - +0.25% WIN
2024-12-16 09:27:20 $56.79 -0.27% -0.17% -0.54% -0.86% -1.62% +0.37% -0.04% -0.04% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:26:02 $59.56 -0.44% -0.52% -0.64% -1.02% +0.64% +0.86% -1.07% -0.27% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:25:27 $58.78 +0.18% +0.14% -0.16% -0.66% -0.07% +0.51% -0.02% +0.10% WIN
2024-11-15 09:29:51 $58.37 -1.27% -2.01% -2.09% -2.93% -3.68% -0.02% -0.39% -0.36% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:13 $60.89 -0.90% -1.80% -1.17% +0.14% -1.76% +0.82% +0.18% -0.28% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:27:06 $55.16 -0.44% -0.42% -0.40% -0.34% -0.82% +0.64% -1.21% +0.05% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:26:31 $53.7 +1.01% +4.45% +3.09% +2.51% +3.85% +4.66% -0.37% +0.19% WIN
2024-10-15 09:26:56 $52.43 -1.11% -0.10% +0.59% +1.05% +0.63% +1.83% -2.56% -2.14% LOSS
2024-10-11 09:25:10 $52.4 +0.06% +0.21% -0.10% -0.10% -0.38% +0.50% -0.02% +0.34% WIN
2024-10-09 09:27:36 $52.35 -1.14% -1.37% -0.36% -0.76% +0.86% +1.53% -1.60% -0.19% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:28:28 $51.75 -0.34% -0.59% -1.51% -1.47% -1.62% +0.79% -1.14% -0.41% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:25:24 $50.97 +0.75% -0.71% -0.90% -2.43% -2.00% +0.78% +0.45% +0.55% WIN
2024-09-20 09:26:45 $49.0 +0.29% +0.53% +0.53% +0.86% +0.84% +1.08% -0.12% +0.59% WIN
2024-09-19 09:26:13 $48.24 +3.32% +2.51% +2.08% +2.08% +1.62% +4.02% +3.63% +3.42% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.3% Baseline on BMY

The 51.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BMY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BMY Strategy →

Why Analyze BMY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BMY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BMY historically offers an average upside of +1.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BMY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.3%, BMY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BMY performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.