FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

BTAI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 55 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-06 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (55 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 08, 2018 🔗 www.bioxceltherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $39.8M 👥 Employees: 37
BioXcel Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company is focused on drug development utilizing novel artificial intelligence (AI) to identify the next wave of medicines across neuroscience and immuno-oncology. The pipeline products of the company are BXCL501 and BXCL701. The company's commercial product, IGALMI (developed as BXCL501) is a proprietary, sublingual film formulation of dexmedetomidine approved by the FDA for the acute treatment of agitation associated with schizophrenia or bipolar I or II disorder in adults.
📊
55
Total Alerts
🎯
81.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+765.64%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+9.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.2%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +3.05%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +8.49%
Worst: -14.42%
Trades: 21/34

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +4.42%
Avg Loser: -5.47%
Best: +12.36%
Worst: -21.82%
Trades: 27/28

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -1.16%
Avg Winner: +4.22%
Avg Loser: -6.35%
Best: +13.71%
Worst: -16.57%
Trades: 27/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -1.25%
Avg Winner: +5.27%
Avg Loser: -6.30%
Best: +11.88%
Worst: -21.52%
Trades: 24/31

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 81.8%
Avg Gain: +765.64%
Avg Winner: +937.91%
Avg Loser: -9.60%
Best: +2058.36%
Worst: -25.26%
Trades: 45/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.05%
Best MFE: +37.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, BTAI alerts reach +9.05% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.36%
Worst MAE: -19.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.36%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.69:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.69x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 55 alerts, BTAI typically reaches +9.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 55
Gap Up % 32.7%
Avg Gap -0.47%
Best Gap +3.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How BTAI compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BTAI: -0.56% Sector: -0.32% -0.24%
EOD Gain
BTAI: +765.64% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479645.58%
Avg MFE
BTAI: +9.05% Sector: +7.56% +1.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTAI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:29:46 $0.33 -0.59% -2.67% +0.03% -0.67% +11.12% +13.28% -4.26% +0.30% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:33 $0.39 +2.51% +7.07% -0.53% -2.43% +1293.80% +11.97% -0.97% +3.05% WIN
2025-01-13 09:29:24 $0.36 -6.17% -7.90% -8.38% -4.88% +7.57% +7.62% -10.31% -1.35% LOSS
2024-08-06 09:25:02 $1.03 -0.97% -3.88% -4.85% -3.88% +1391.26% +0.49% +0.49% -2.91% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:28:02 $1.37 -5.12% -7.30% -5.83% -5.83% +1394.89% - -2.92% -1.46% LOSS
2024-07-16 09:25:58 $1.21 +2.48% +0.83% +0.41% +3.31% +10.74% +13.21% -2.48% +1.65% WIN
2024-06-25 09:26:33 $1.3 -1.15% -1.81% -3.08% -3.85% +1352.31% - - -3.08% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:25:01 $2.74 -0.73% -1.82% -4.01% -5.29% +1424.09% -0.73% -1.46% -0.73% LOSS
2024-03-25 09:28:40 $2.59 +8.49% +12.36% +13.71% +5.41% +10.04% +14.29% +0.39% +0.39% WIN
2024-03-15 09:28:15 $2.85 -0.71% -0.93% -2.12% -4.91% -5.96% +1.05% -1.75% -1.05% LOSS
2024-03-12 09:28:54 $3.25 -4.00% -8.31% -9.84% -10.46% +1263.69% +1.54% -2.46% +1.54% LOSS
2024-02-21 09:29:06 $3.35 +0.30% -1.19% +1.20% -3.29% -5.97% +2.99% -4.48% - WIN
2024-02-20 09:29:25 $3.49 +3.35% +5.73% +0.86% +4.87% +0.57% +8.31% -0.97% +0.29% WIN
2024-02-16 09:25:56 $3.66 -0.82% +3.28% -3.55% -1.23% +1434.43% +4.37% -4.37% - LOSS
2024-02-15 09:26:39 $3.18 +6.76% +7.86% +1.85% +5.82% +1706.29% +13.21% -1.57% - WIN
2024-02-13 09:27:22 $2.6 -5.38% -18.82% -16.57% -18.05% +1413.85% +1.92% -19.62% -1.54% LOSS
2024-02-09 09:28:39 $2.59 -5.79% -5.60% -8.44% -3.63% -18.53% +7.34% -2.70% -1.16% LOSS
2024-02-07 09:26:18 $3.88 -2.58% +0.52% +0.75% -3.10% -2.58% +2.15% -1.29% +2.06% LOSS
2024-02-06 09:28:48 $3.6 -0.69% +2.22% +1.39% +8.33% +12.22% +15.83% -3.06% -0.28% LOSS
2024-02-05 09:26:35 $3.42 -6.73% -5.26% -4.09% -2.92% +1635.67% +13.01% -7.89% -2.05% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 81.8% Baseline on BTAI

The 81.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BTAI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BTAI Strategy →

Why Analyze BTAI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTAI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTAI historically offers an average upside of +9.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTAI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 81.8%, BTAI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BTAI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +765.64%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.