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BZFDW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-26 → 2023-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 06, 2021 🔗 www.buzzfeed.com
👥 Employees: 611
BuzzFeed Inc is a tech-powered, diversified media company that reaches hundreds of millions globally through its cross-platform news and entertainment network. The company produces articles, lists, quizzes, videos, and original series; lifestyle content through brands including Tasty, social food network; original reporting and investigative journalism through BuzzFeed News and HuffPost; an industry- affiliate business, strategic partnerships, licensing and product development through BuzzFeed Commerce; and original productions across broadcast, cable, SVOD, film and digital platforms for BuzzFeed Studios.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-5.15%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+38.27%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -5.15%
Avg Winner: +5.47%
Avg Loser: -15.78%
Best: +6.00%
Worst: -24.88%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -5.56%
Avg Winner: +2.99%
Avg Loser: -14.12%
Best: +5.65%
Worst: -19.01%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -10.27%
Avg Winner: +19.05%
Avg Loser: -16.14%
Best: +19.05%
Worst: -25.00%
Trades: 1/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -12.60%
Avg Winner: +2.56%
Avg Loser: -15.63%
Best: +2.56%
Worst: -23.62%
Trades: 1/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -4.98%
Avg Winner: +39.85%
Avg Loser: -27.40%
Best: +54.76%
Worst: -35.48%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +38.27%
Best MFE: +89.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 84 min

On average, BZFDW alerts reach +38.27% profit potential within 84 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.88%
Worst MAE: -35.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.57:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.57x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, BZFDW typically reaches +38.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 30.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +7.69%
Best Gap +25.98%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC

How BZFDW compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BZFDW: -5.15% Sector: -0.36% -4.79%
EOD Gain
BZFDW: -4.98% Sector: +404.57% -409.55%
Avg MFE
BZFDW: +38.27% Sector: +6.49% +31.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BZFDW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-06 09:29:00 $0.33 -8.45% -19.01% -17.61% -17.88% -22.95% +0.70% - +0.70% LOSS
2023-02-01 09:27:00 $0.35 -14.00% +3.23% -14.29% -15.26% -20.00% +17.14% - -8.00% LOSS
2023-01-31 09:28:00 $0.42 +4.76% -4.52% -4.76% -2.38% -35.48% +8.43% -1.12% +8.43% WIN
2023-01-30 09:27:00 $0.5 +6.00% +0.10% -19.04% -19.00% -31.18% +25.98% - +25.98% WIN
2023-01-27 09:26:00 $0.34 +5.65% +5.65% +19.05% +2.56% +54.76% +89.88% -4.76% +19.05% WIN
2023-01-26 09:29:00 $0.16 -24.88% -18.81% -25.00% -23.62% +24.94% +87.50% -35.38% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BZFDW Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -5.15% average gain, BZFDW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BZFDW for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BZFDW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BZFDW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BZFDW historically offers an average upside of +38.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BZFDW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, BZFDW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BZFDW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BZFDW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -5.15%). This suggests BZFDW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.