Latest signal:
CDW Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-28 → 2024-11-19
⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CDW alerts reach +0.90% profit potential within 264 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.09%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, CDW typically reaches +0.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES
How CDW compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CDW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-19 | 09:26:32 | $178.07 | -0.85% | -1.73% | -1.59% | -1.65% | -2.26% | -0.56% | -1.14% | -1.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:25:31 | $223.99 | -0.08% | +0.47% | +0.91% | +0.88% | +2.07% | +2.27% | -0.25% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-10 | 09:25:00 | $167.76 | +0.41% | +0.34% | -0.15% | +0.40% | +0.54% | +0.82% | -0.55% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2022-08-19 | 09:25:00 | $187.68 | -0.42% | +0.09% | -0.23% | +0.01% | +0.37% | +0.65% | -1.02% | -0.71% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-18 | 09:25:00 | $184.2 | -0.36% | -0.26% | -0.24% | +0.12% | +1.58% | +1.66% | -0.64% | -0.55% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-17 | 09:25:00 | $183.55 | -0.24% | -1.05% | -0.76% | -1.17% | -0.51% | +0.21% | -0.24% | - | LOSS |
| 2022-08-04 | 09:25:00 | $182.76 | -0.94% | -0.72% | -0.42% | -1.43% | -1.50% | -0.28% | -1.14% | -0.94% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-31 | 09:25:00 | $170.0 | +0.35% | -1.10% | -0.55% | +0.13% | -0.08% | +1.05% | -1.17% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2022-05-19 | 09:25:00 | $163.75 | -1.09% | -0.85% | -2.60% | -1.32% | -1.10% | +0.28% | -2.96% | -0.75% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-16 | 09:25:00 | $169.34 | -0.97% | -1.01% | -1.35% | -0.37% | -0.10% | +0.79% | -1.64% | -0.57% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-02 | 09:25:00 | $163.37 | -0.13% | -0.90% | +0.06% | +0.39% | +0.47% | +0.70% | -2.12% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-28 | 09:25:00 | $163.8 | +0.42% | +0.40% | +0.89% | +0.76% | +2.95% | +3.17% | -0.18% | +0.17% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ CDW Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 58.3% win rate, CDW has -0.27% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making CDW profitable.
🔧 Fix CDW Risk/Reward →Why Analyze CDW with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CDW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CDW historically offers an average upside of +0.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CDW Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 58.3%, CDW shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.19%) outweigh average wins (+0.38%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: CDW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.27%). This suggests CDW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.