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CHD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-18 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 30, 1976 🔗 www.churchdwight.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.20B 👥 Employees: 5,750
Church & Dwight is the leading global producer of baking soda. Its portfolio extends beyond its legacy category to include laundry products, cat litter, oral care, deodorant, and nasal care, all sold under the Arm & Hammer brand. Its brands also include Batiste, OxiClean, Vitafusion, Hero, and TheraBreath, which, together with Arm & Hammer, account for around 70% of its annual sales and profits. Most recently, the firm added Touchland and its hand sanitizer business to its fold. Even as it works to expand its product reach, Church & Dwight still derives around 80% of its sales from its home market in the US.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
46.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.45%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +4.12%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 7/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +4.18%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 5/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +4.16%
Worst: -1.61%
Trades: 7/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +4.45%
Worst: -1.81%
Trades: 7/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.09%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +4.38%
Worst: -2.93%
Trades: 7/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.47%
Best MFE: +4.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 122 min

On average, CHD alerts reach +1.47% profit potential within 122 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.05%
Worst MAE: -2.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

28.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 28.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, CHD typically reaches +1.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 46.7%
Avg Gap +0.50%
Best Gap +4.80%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SOAP, DETERGENTS, CLEANG PREPARATIONS, PERFUMES, COSMETICS

How CHD compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CHD: +0.45% Sector: +0.09% +0.36%
EOD Gain
CHD: +0.48% Sector: +0.17% +0.31%
Avg MFE
CHD: +1.47% Sector: +0.97% +0.50%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CHD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:27:12 $104.21 -0.07% -0.33% -0.51% -1.62% -2.44% +0.32% -0.41% -0.41% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:29:39 $107.75 +3.13% +2.97% +3.56% +3.88% +4.18% +4.73% +2.93% +3.80% WIN
2023-12-04 09:25:00 $95.3 -0.89% -0.41% +0.03% -0.17% -0.21% +0.67% -0.92% -0.65% LOSS
2023-11-08 09:27:00 $88.71 +0.36% -0.37% -0.07% +0.50% -0.10% +0.80% -0.38% +0.30% WIN
2023-10-11 09:26:00 $87.99 +0.01% -0.55% -1.27% -1.15% -0.39% +0.39% -0.72% +0.12% WIN
2023-09-21 09:25:00 $95.1 - -0.15% -0.04% +0.06% -0.08% +0.52% -0.33% - -
2023-09-07 09:25:00 $94.12 +0.90% +1.14% +1.41% +1.57% +2.55% +3.27% +0.55% +0.55% WIN
2023-08-18 09:26:00 $92.18 -0.78% -0.55% -0.40% +0.05% +0.99% +1.08% -0.87% -0.38% LOSS
2023-07-25 09:27:00 $93.86 +4.12% +4.18% +4.16% +4.45% +4.38% +4.80% +4.55% +4.80% WIN
2023-05-18 09:25:00 $94.59 -0.36% -0.74% -0.59% -0.68% -0.05% +0.54% +0.54% -0.36% LOSS
2022-10-31 09:25:00 $76.37 -0.09% +0.41% +0.16% -1.40% -2.93% +0.79% -0.33% +0.03% LOSS
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $80.2 +0.42% +0.55% +0.46% +1.22% +1.67% +1.88% +0.26% +0.47% WIN
2022-08-01 09:25:00 $87.86 +0.93% -0.11% +0.27% -0.02% +0.84% +2.00% -0.97% -0.44% WIN
2022-06-02 09:25:00 $89.04 -0.09% -0.95% -1.61% -1.81% +0.03% +0.22% -2.13% -0.12% LOSS
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $104.5 -0.79% -1.65% -1.24% -1.45% -1.22% +0.00% -1.00% -0.19% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 46.7% Baseline on CHD

The 46.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CHD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CHD Strategy →

Why Analyze CHD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CHD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CHD historically offers an average upside of +1.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CHD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.7%, CHD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CHD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.45%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.