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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$CMS

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.6% at 30-min n=19 2023-02-21 → 2026-07-24

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 19 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.cmsenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $19.99B 👥 Employees: 8,350
CMS Energy is an energy holding company with three principal businesses. Its regulated utility, Consumers Energy, provides regulated natural gas service to 1.8 million customers and electric service to 1.9 million customers in Michigan. NorthStar Clean Energy, formerly CMS Enterprises, is engaged in wholesale power generation, including contracted renewable energy. CMS sold EnerBank in October 2021.
Total alerts
19
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
52.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.06%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.91%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CMS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +1.63%
Worst: -1.41%
Trades: 9/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +1.40%
Worst: -2.16%
Trades: 9/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.6%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +1.21%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 10/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -2.38%
Trades: 9/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +2.12%
Worst: -2.80%
Trades: 9/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.91%
Best MFE: +2.17%
Avg Time to MFE: 134 min

On average, CMS alerts reach +0.91% profit potential within 134 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.47%
Worst MAE: -1.51%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.95:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, CMS typically reaches +0.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 63.2%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.68%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How CMS compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CMS: +0.00% Sector: -0.07% +0.07%
EOD Gain
CMS: +0.03% Sector: -0.02% +0.04%
Avg MFE
CMS: +0.91% Sector: +0.99% -0.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CMS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-07-24 09:25:00 $74.15 +0.63% +0.92% +1.13% +1.15% +0.74% +1.75% +0.00% +0.50% WIN
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $72.87 +0.32% +1.40% +0.99% +1.36% +1.76% +2.17% +0.25% +0.32% WIN
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $69.27 +1.63% +1.08% +1.21% +0.64% +1.57% +1.99% -0.71% +0.32% WIN
2026-05-04 09:25:00 $75.72 -0.05% -0.29% +0.77% +0.50% -0.04% +0.94% -0.73% -0.21% LOSS
2026-02-12 09:25:00 $75.62 -1.08% -1.07% -1.16% -1.01% -1.18% -0.01% -1.51% -1.10% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:27:45 $66.61 +0.26% +0.47% +0.33% +0.11% +2.12% +2.12% -0.24% -0.18% WIN
2024-12-24 09:25:42 $66.67 -0.30% +0.03% +0.01% -0.07% +0.23% +0.24% -0.31% -0.30% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:29:46 $67.38 +0.11% -0.12% -0.19% -0.56% -0.31% +0.25% -0.11% +0.22% WIN
2024-11-26 09:28:52 $69.73 -0.21% -0.27% +0.04% +0.00% +1.03% +1.09% -0.40% +0.13% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:25:46 $69.34 +0.40% +0.35% -0.34% +0.06% -1.50% +0.87% +0.20% +0.68% WIN
2024-06-21 09:26:02 $59.48 +0.03% +0.56% +0.76% +0.95% +0.12% +1.45% +0.69% +0.20% WIN
2024-04-19 09:27:14 $58.48 +0.56% +0.60% +0.64% +1.16% +1.83% +2.05% +0.34% +0.34% WIN
2023-05-24 09:27:00 $58.63 -0.12% -0.43% -0.63% -0.36% -0.97% +0.29% -0.84% -0.26% LOSS
2023-05-15 09:29:00 $62.49 -1.41% -2.16% -2.73% -2.38% -2.80% -0.75% -1.27% -0.80% LOSS
2023-05-04 09:29:00 $60.81 -0.03% -0.38% -0.72% -0.12% +0.79% +1.13% -0.84% +0.12% LOSS
2023-05-03 09:28:00 $61.65 -0.07% -0.16% -0.31% -0.45% -0.75% +1.07% -0.97% +0.21% LOSS
2023-05-02 09:27:00 $61.63 -0.26% -0.23% -0.32% -0.52% -0.23% +0.12% -1.38% +0.03% LOSS
2023-02-22 09:25:00 $61.16 +0.10% +0.10% +0.24% +0.51% -0.57% +0.77% -0.20% +0.38% WIN
2023-02-21 09:26:00 $61.97 -0.42% -1.08% -0.81% -0.71% -1.31% -0.31% -0.82% -0.82% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CMS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.6% win rate, CMS has -0.06% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CMS profitable.

🔧 Fix CMS Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze CMS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CMS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CMS historically offers an average upside of +0.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CMS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.6%, CMS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.80%) outweigh average wins (+0.61%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CMS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.06%). This suggests CMS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.