Latest signal:
CMS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-21 → 2025-01-16
⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, CMS alerts reach +0.74% profit potential within 155 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, CMS typically reaches +0.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
How CMS compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical CMS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-16 | 09:27:45 | $66.61 | +0.26% | +0.47% | +0.33% | +0.11% | +2.12% | +2.12% | -0.24% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2024-12-24 | 09:25:42 | $66.67 | -0.30% | +0.03% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.23% | +0.24% | -0.31% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-06 | 09:29:46 | $67.38 | +0.11% | -0.12% | -0.19% | -0.56% | -0.31% | +0.25% | -0.11% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:28:52 | $69.73 | -0.21% | -0.27% | +0.04% | - | +1.03% | +1.09% | -0.40% | +0.13% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:25:46 | $69.34 | +0.40% | +0.35% | -0.34% | +0.06% | -1.50% | +0.87% | +0.20% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2024-06-21 | 09:26:02 | $59.48 | +0.03% | +0.56% | +0.76% | +0.95% | +0.12% | +1.45% | +0.69% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2024-04-19 | 09:27:14 | $58.48 | +0.56% | +0.60% | +0.64% | +1.16% | +1.83% | +2.05% | +0.34% | +0.34% | WIN |
| 2023-05-24 | 09:27:00 | $58.63 | -0.12% | -0.43% | -0.63% | -0.36% | -0.97% | +0.29% | -0.84% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-15 | 09:29:00 | $62.49 | -1.41% | -2.16% | -2.73% | -2.38% | -2.80% | -0.75% | -1.27% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-04 | 09:29:00 | $60.81 | -0.03% | -0.38% | -0.72% | -0.12% | +0.79% | +1.13% | -0.84% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-03 | 09:28:00 | $61.65 | -0.07% | -0.16% | -0.31% | -0.45% | -0.75% | +1.07% | -0.97% | +0.21% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-02 | 09:27:00 | $61.63 | -0.26% | -0.23% | -0.32% | -0.52% | -0.23% | +0.12% | -1.38% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-02-22 | 09:25:00 | $61.16 | +0.10% | +0.10% | +0.24% | +0.51% | -0.57% | +0.77% | -0.20% | +0.38% | WIN |
| 2023-02-21 | 09:26:00 | $61.97 | -0.42% | -1.08% | -0.81% | -0.71% | -1.31% | -0.31% | -0.82% | -0.82% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ CMS Shows Negative Expectancy
With 42.9% win rate and -0.10% average gain, CMS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider CMS for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze CMS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CMS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, CMS historically offers an average upside of +0.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 CMS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, CMS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests CMS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: CMS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.10%). This suggests CMS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.