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CNC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-01-08

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 2001 🔗 www.centene.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.65B 👥 Employees: 60,500
Centene is a managed care organization that focuses on government-sponsored healthcare plans, including Medicaid, Medicare, and the individual exchanges. Centene served 22 million medical members as of December 2024, mostly in Medicaid (about 60% of membership), the individual exchanges (about 20%), and Medicare (about 5%). The company also has a military contract and provides Medicare Part D pharmaceutical plans.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
58.8%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.38%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.27%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +2.45%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 9/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.8%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +4.16%
Worst: -2.97%
Trades: 10/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.8%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.53%
Best: +4.35%
Worst: -3.14%
Trades: 10/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.43%
Avg Winner: +2.38%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +4.99%
Worst: -2.97%
Trades: 8/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.46%
Avg Winner: +3.10%
Avg Loser: -2.51%
Best: +7.08%
Worst: -8.65%
Trades: 9/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.27%
Best MFE: +7.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 161 min

On average, CNC alerts reach +2.27% profit potential within 161 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.55%
Worst MAE: -1.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.11:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.11x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, CNC typically reaches +2.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 35.3%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +0.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

How CNC compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CNC: +0.11% Sector: -0.05% +0.16%
EOD Gain
CNC: +0.45% Sector: +0.06% +0.39%
Avg MFE
CNC: +2.34% Sector: +2.93% -0.59%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CNC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-08 09:26:16 $62.5 +0.16% -0.40% -0.46% +0.90% +1.07% +1.78% -1.26% -0.40% WIN
2024-11-18 09:28:14 $57.46 +0.50% +1.67% +1.05% +0.89% +2.38% +2.56% -0.45% -0.16% WIN
2024-11-06 09:25:44 $59.81 +1.55% +4.16% +4.35% +4.48% +4.60% +5.48% +0.10% +0.32% WIN
2024-10-25 09:29:48 $70.3 -1.61% -2.23% -3.14% -2.43% -8.65% -0.27% -1.35% -0.43% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:25:59 $63.1 -0.16% -0.39% +0.08% -0.46% -0.16% +0.57% -1.59% -0.16% LOSS
2024-04-15 09:25:10 $75.75 -0.99% -2.97% -3.07% -2.97% -4.00% +0.20% +0.20% -0.03% LOSS
2022-10-25 09:25:00 $78.1 +2.45% +2.52% +3.75% +3.75% +7.08% +7.40% -0.38% -0.38% WIN
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $92.51 +0.39% -0.01% -0.31% -0.59% -0.17% +0.57% -0.95% +0.28% WIN
2022-07-11 09:25:00 $87.6 -0.66% +0.22% +0.49% -0.63% -0.43% +0.88% -0.80% -0.51% LOSS
2022-06-01 09:25:00 $81.44 +0.77% +0.36% -0.70% -0.99% -0.28% +1.11% +0.37% +0.56% WIN
2022-05-27 09:25:00 $81.89 +1.07% +0.87% +1.45% +0.89% +3.08% +3.10% +0.18% +0.67% WIN
2022-05-18 09:25:00 $84.1 -0.45% -0.96% -1.68% -2.14% -2.77% -0.15% -0.75% -0.49% LOSS
2022-05-11 09:25:00 $79.42 +0.89% +2.15% +3.63% +4.99% +1.55% +6.35% - +0.49% WIN
2022-05-02 09:25:00 $81.99 -0.71% -1.83% -1.38% -1.31% -3.57% -0.65% -1.22% -1.22% LOSS
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $82.36 - +0.85% +0.12% -0.23% +0.59% +1.21% +0.46% +0.85% -
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $81.5 -1.73% +2.07% +0.83% +2.11% +5.12% +5.53% -1.74% -1.73% LOSS
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $76.95 +0.25% +0.44% +0.34% +1.03% +2.43% +2.96% -0.21% -0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.8% Baseline on CNC

The 58.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CNC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CNC Strategy →

Why Analyze CNC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CNC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CNC historically offers an average upside of +2.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CNC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.8%, CNC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CNC performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.38%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.