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COLD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-27 → 2024-07-01

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Americold Realty Trust, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 19, 2018 🔗 www.americold.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.77B 👥 Employees: 13,755
Americold Realty Trust Inc is the world's second-largest owner and operator of temperature-controlled warehouses behind privately held Lineage Logistics. The Atlanta, Georgia-based firm owns and operates approximately 239 temperature-controlled warehouses, spanning 1.4 billion cubic feet. In 2022, the firm derived more than 80% of its revenue from the United States but also has sizable operations in Europe, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. Americold supplements its core business by providing supply management and transportation services to its various customers. It operates as a real estate investment trust.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.93%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
-0.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +0.72%
Worst: -2.65%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -2.42%
Best: +1.22%
Worst: -2.72%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -2.11%
Best: +0.84%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.49%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -2.48%
Best: +0.48%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.61%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +0.23%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -0.01%
Best MFE: +1.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 18 min

On average, COLD alerts reach -0.01% profit potential within 18 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.17%
Worst MAE: -3.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.01:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, COLD typically reaches -0.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.63%
Best Gap +0.99%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How COLD compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
COLD: -0.93% Sector: -0.14% -0.79%
EOD Gain
COLD: -1.61% Sector: +296893.71% -296895.32%
Avg MFE
COLD: -0.01% Sector: +2.11% -2.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical COLD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-01 09:25:22 $26.37 -2.65% -2.72% -1.44% -2.73% -2.73% -1.02% -3.11% -2.35% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:28:27 $26.22 +0.72% +1.22% +0.84% +0.48% +0.23% +1.53% +0.46% +0.99% WIN
2023-10-27 09:25:00 $25.93 -0.87% -2.12% -2.78% -2.23% -2.31% -0.54% -0.87% -0.54% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ COLD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.93% average gain, COLD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider COLD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze COLD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for COLD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, COLD historically offers an average upside of -0.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 COLD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, COLD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests COLD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: COLD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.93%). This suggests COLD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.