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CTMX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 35 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-07 → 2024-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (35 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 08, 2015 🔗 www.cytomx.com
💰 Market Cap: $938.7M 👥 Employees: 121
CytomX Therapeutics Inc a clinical-stage, oncology-focused biopharmaceutical company developing novel, masked, conditionally activated biologics designed to be localized to the tumor microenvironment. It is engaged in developing antibody therapeutics based on probody technology platforms. The company's probody technology platform creates proprietary cancer immunotherapies against clinically-validated targets and develops cancer therapeutics. Probody therapeutics are designed to take advantage of conditions in the tumor microenvironment to enhance the tumor-targeting features of an antibody and reduce drug activity in healthy tissues.
📊
35
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.62%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+8.60%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.3%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +4.70%
Worst: -9.72%
Trades: 19/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +8.22%
Worst: -14.47%
Trades: 16/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.62%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: -3.85%
Best: +17.24%
Worst: -15.10%
Trades: 21/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: +2.06%
Avg Winner: +8.02%
Avg Loser: -3.58%
Best: +62.49%
Worst: -21.88%
Trades: 17/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +1.66%
Avg Winner: +7.44%
Avg Loser: -6.47%
Best: +57.85%
Worst: -29.17%
Trades: 20/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.60%
Best MFE: +80.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, CTMX alerts reach +8.60% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.38%
Worst MAE: -14.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.62:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.62x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 35 alerts, CTMX typically reaches +8.60% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 35
Gap Up % 34.3%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +2.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How CTMX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CTMX: -0.14% Sector: -0.32% +0.18%
EOD Gain
CTMX: +1.66% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480409.56%
Avg MFE
CTMX: +8.60% Sector: +7.56% +1.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CTMX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:29:37 $1.22 +4.10% +3.69% +4.92% +11.70% +5.74% +16.39% -0.82% - WIN
2024-12-03 09:26:13 $1.21 +1.65% +8.22% +3.72% +7.85% +1.65% +10.74% -2.48% -0.83% WIN
2024-11-08 09:29:00 $1.16 -0.86% -6.90% -6.03% -6.90% -6.03% +0.86% -0.86% -0.86% LOSS
2024-05-09 09:26:21 $2.88 -9.72% -14.47% -15.10% -21.88% -29.17% +0.35% -2.26% -5.49% LOSS
2024-05-06 09:26:13 $4.87 +0.82% -2.26% -4.71% -7.35% -10.27% +1.44% -2.46% +0.41% WIN
2024-05-03 09:29:36 $4.62 +3.02% +3.48% +7.90% +2.81% -4.11% +9.52% -2.60% - WIN
2024-05-02 09:29:43 $4.38 -2.51% -0.80% +1.13% +2.52% +2.74% +8.22% -4.34% +0.46% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:28:39 $3.25 -5.56% -13.85% +17.24% +62.49% +57.85% +80.00% -14.46% - LOSS
2023-07-17 09:28:00 $1.89 -3.17% -1.06% -1.32% -1.59% -1.06% -0.26% -3.17% -1.59% LOSS
2023-06-30 09:26:00 $1.67 -2.40% -1.80% -3.59% -1.20% +2.99% +6.59% -4.19% -1.80% LOSS
2023-03-28 09:26:00 $1.53 -1.31% -1.96% +2.94% +2.61% -0.65% +6.21% -6.54% -3.27% LOSS
2023-03-15 09:28:00 $2.04 +3.68% +0.98% - -0.54% -0.49% +3.92% -1.47% +1.47% WIN
2023-02-03 09:29:00 $2.62 +0.19% +0.57% +1.15% -0.38% +1.15% +3.44% -0.76% -0.76% WIN
2023-01-26 09:29:00 $2.75 +0.73% -0.91% -1.64% -0.31% +1.09% +6.18% -2.18% -0.36% WIN
2023-01-12 09:26:00 $2.75 +0.18% +4.36% +0.01% -2.18% -0.73% +4.73% -1.45% - WIN
2023-01-11 09:28:00 $2.73 -0.92% +0.18% +3.30% +0.37% +0.37% +4.03% -1.47% +0.37% LOSS
2023-01-10 09:26:00 $2.76 +2.10% +3.54% +0.03% -1.09% +0.72% +6.88% +0.72% +2.17% WIN
2023-01-09 09:27:00 $2.45 +4.70% +3.67% +6.10% +8.57% +17.55% +23.27% - +0.41% WIN
2023-01-06 09:29:00 $2.9 -8.28% -4.14% -6.21% -9.66% -13.10% +3.79% - +2.07% LOSS
2023-01-05 09:28:00 $1.73 -0.58% +0.58% -1.83% +5.49% +3.47% +8.67% -3.47% -1.73% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on CTMX

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CTMX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CTMX Strategy →

Why Analyze CTMX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CTMX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CTMX historically offers an average upside of +8.60% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CTMX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, CTMX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CTMX performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.62%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.