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CTXR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 61 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-11-26

⚠️ Small sample size (61 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc. Common PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 18, 2011 🔗 www.citiuspharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.6M 👥 Employees: 23
Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the development and commercialization of first-in-class critical care products, with a focus on oncology, anti-infectives in adjunct cancer care and distinct prescription products. It aims to provide therapeutic products that address unmet medical needs yet have a lower development risk than is usually associated with new chemical entities. The company's flagship product candidate is LYMPHIR, an engineered IL-2 diphtheria toxin fusion protein. It operates through a single operating and reportable segment which is focused on developing and commercializing pioneering targeted oncology therapies.
📊
61
Total Alerts
🎯
91.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1581.28%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.24%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.8%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.84%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +6.52%
Worst: -18.90%
Trades: 31/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.8%
Avg Gain: -1.18%
Avg Winner: +3.30%
Avg Loser: -3.63%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -22.46%
Trades: 20/38

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.1%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +4.04%
Avg Loser: -4.16%
Best: +28.88%
Worst: -14.47%
Trades: 22/38

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +4.37%
Avg Loser: -4.95%
Best: +26.52%
Worst: -13.15%
Trades: 27/34

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 91.8%
Avg Gain: +1581.28%
Avg Winner: +1722.78%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +2592.31%
Worst: -7.52%
Trades: 56/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.24%
Best MFE: +38.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, CTXR alerts reach +6.24% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.33%
Worst MAE: -30.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.87:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 61 alerts, CTXR typically reaches +6.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 61
Gap Up % 31.1%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +4.79%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How CTXR compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CTXR: -0.38% Sector: -0.32% -0.06%
EOD Gain
CTXR: +1581.28% Sector: +4480411.22% -4478829.94%
Avg MFE
CTXR: +6.24% Sector: +7.56% -1.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CTXR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-26 09:27:03 $3.65 -18.90% -22.46% -14.36% -13.15% +13.70% +16.44% -30.14% -1.92% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:27:41 $0.32 +4.56% +3.36% -12.08% -4.88% +4.09% +18.51% -19.90% +4.28% WIN
2024-11-12 09:26:30 $0.47 -0.02% -2.00% -0.97% -1.04% +2464.89% +9.26% -3.19% - LOSS
2024-11-11 09:29:44 $0.45 +0.77% +2.23% -1.17% -5.85% +2374.11% +7.78% +1.10% +1.12% WIN
2024-11-08 09:27:14 $0.42 +1.95% -3.38% -2.55% -4.74% +2349.99% +5.03% -2.33% -0.69% WIN
2024-11-07 09:27:14 $0.38 -1.32% +4.63% +4.58% +4.92% +2414.47% +10.39% -4.97% -4.97% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:29:02 $0.61 -3.00% -4.95% -3.28% -3.30% +2157.79% - -4.92% - LOSS
2024-09-19 09:26:58 $0.55 +0.05% -1.82% -2.02% -2.73% +2391.36% +5.42% -5.45% -1.82% WIN
2024-08-19 09:27:45 $0.6 +0.25% +3.23% +2.97% +7.50% +6.70% +11.85% -2.90% -2.90% WIN
2024-08-13 09:27:01 $0.66 -6.64% -6.06% -7.50% -12.12% -7.52% - -2.86% -1.52% LOSS
2024-08-09 09:25:46 $0.94 -4.81% -6.95% -7.52% -5.73% +1985.56% -0.65% -3.32% -5.06% LOSS
2024-08-08 09:29:01 $0.83 +3.90% -5.51% -2.99% +3.35% +6.59% +8.93% -10.18% +4.79% WIN
2024-08-06 09:29:30 $0.95 -2.11% -2.67% -1.42% +1.56% +2584.21% +10.53% -5.09% - LOSS
2024-08-05 09:25:05 $0.79 +1.42% -0.83% +4.65% +8.14% +18.55% +22.95% -5.91% +1.88% WIN
2024-07-29 09:25:51 $0.98 -0.75% -2.38% -2.41% +1.48% +2400.76% +4.58% -2.53% -0.50% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:26:16 $0.97 -2.46% +3.70% +0.78% -3.71% +2281.93% +4.72% -3.15% -0.41% LOSS
2024-07-17 09:25:38 $0.89 -1.54% -1.58% -0.83% -9.13% +2193.32% +0.01% -1.11% -0.44% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:29:11 $0.78 +1.23% -2.89% -1.48% -1.61% +2383.28% +2.11% -3.28% -0.96% WIN
2024-07-10 09:27:54 $0.72 +0.82% +2.50% -2.53% -6.68% +2493.18% +6.40% -9.22% +0.47% WIN
2024-07-09 09:27:46 $0.64 -3.11% +1.11% +4.69% +2.92% +2541.82% +7.83% -3.11% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 91.8% Baseline on CTXR

The 91.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CTXR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CTXR Strategy →

Why Analyze CTXR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CTXR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CTXR historically offers an average upside of +6.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CTXR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 91.8%, CTXR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CTXR performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1581.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.