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CXW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-06-11 → 2024-11-06

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 15, 1997 🔗 www.corecivic.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.10B 👥 Employees: 11,649
CoreCivic Inc is an owner and operator of private prisons and detention centers in the United States. It operates in three segments: Safety, Community, and Properties. The Community segment owns and operates residential reentry centers. The Properties segment owns properties for lease to third parties and government agencies. The vast majority of the company's revenue comes from the CoreCivic Safety segment which consists of correctional and detention facilities that are owned, or controlled via a long-term lease, and managed by the company, as well as those correctional and detention facilities owned by third parties but managed by CoreCivic.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+4.98%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+11.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.98%
Avg Winner: +4.98%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +6.24%
Worst: +3.73%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.43%
Avg Winner: +3.43%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.54%
Worst: +3.32%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.80%
Avg Winner: +4.80%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +8.92%
Worst: +0.69%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +6.14%
Avg Winner: +6.14%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +7.24%
Worst: +5.04%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +6.69%
Avg Winner: +6.69%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +7.92%
Worst: +5.46%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.05%
Best MFE: +12.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 101 min

On average, CXW alerts reach +11.05% profit potential within 101 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.28%
Worst MAE: -3.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.84:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.84x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, CXW typically reaches +11.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.96%
Best Gap +1.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How CXW compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CXW: +4.98% Sector: -0.14% +5.13%
EOD Gain
CXW: +6.69% Sector: +296893.71% -296887.02%
Avg MFE
CXW: +11.05% Sector: +2.11% +8.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CXW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-06 09:26:59 $16.67 +6.24% +3.54% +0.69% +5.04% +5.46% +9.39% -1.02% +1.74% WIN
2024-06-11 09:27:54 $10.99 +3.73% +3.32% +8.92% +7.24% +7.92% +12.70% -3.55% +0.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on CXW

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CXW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CXW Strategy →

Why Analyze CXW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CXW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CXW historically offers an average upside of +11.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CXW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, CXW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CXW performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.98%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.