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DJT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 186 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-26 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. Common Stock SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC. (SIC 7370)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 26, 2024 🔗 www.tmtgcorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.02B 👥 Employees: 29
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp is a media and technology company rooted in social media, digital streaming, information technology infrastructure, and more. Its initial product launch will focus on its social media platform, Truth Social, which encourages an open, free, and honest conversation without discriminating against political ideology.
📊
186
Total Alerts
🎯
45.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.49%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +14.67%
Worst: -9.58%
Trades: 77/109

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +2.12%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +8.33%
Worst: -15.49%
Trades: 83/102

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +2.67%
Avg Loser: -3.04%
Best: +10.51%
Worst: -17.29%
Trades: 84/101

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.49%
Avg Winner: +3.19%
Avg Loser: -3.59%
Best: +16.39%
Worst: -20.86%
Trades: 85/101

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +5.28%
Avg Loser: -5.01%
Best: +27.70%
Worst: -20.59%
Trades: 82/104

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.63%
Best MFE: +28.66%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, DJT alerts reach +4.63% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.10%
Worst MAE: -19.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 186 alerts, DJT typically reaches +4.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 186
Gap Up % 27.4%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +5.99%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How DJT compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DJT: -0.46% Sector: -0.08% -0.38%
EOD Gain
DJT: -0.47% Sector: +7112.19% -7112.67%
Avg MFE
DJT: +4.63% Sector: +3.14% +1.49%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DJT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:52 $30.62 +0.13% +0.20% +0.34% -0.36% -0.75% +0.98% -0.33% +0.29% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:18 $30.53 -0.62% -0.59% -0.52% +1.31% +0.46% +1.51% -0.95% -0.43% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:12 $30.08 -0.43% -0.15% +0.13% +1.23% +1.16% +1.99% -1.10% -0.27% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:28:52 $30.95 -0.18% -0.13% +0.05% +0.21% -1.97% +0.84% -0.61% - LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:58 $32.29 -0.94% -1.27% -1.01% -1.61% -3.41% +0.28% -0.84% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:54 $30.3 -0.43% +0.23% -0.07% +0.96% +6.86% +7.59% -0.92% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:41 $30.37 -0.31% -0.66% -0.01% +1.15% -0.07% +1.86% -1.25% -0.66% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:33 $30.81 +1.33% +0.60% +0.29% +0.45% -0.62% +1.72% -0.94% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:02 $30.01 +0.87% +1.33% +3.35% +3.02% +2.70% +3.97% -0.17% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:11 $31.6 +0.08% +0.29% - -0.02% +0.82% +1.23% -0.38% +0.09% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:25 $32.03 -0.09% -0.28% -1.19% -3.25% -1.34% +0.84% -0.94% +0.09% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:25 $33.5 -0.93% -3.04% -1.39% -3.38% -4.27% +1.49% -0.84% +0.33% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:27 $29.9 +0.05% -1.54% -0.43% +0.94% +0.47% +2.14% -1.94% +0.13% WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:37 $31.44 -1.62% -1.67% -1.32% -0.64% -6.06% +1.24% -2.93% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:43 $34.0 -0.13% +0.49% +0.18% +0.38% -3.79% +1.88% -1.09% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:25:34 $33.03 +2.30% +0.65% +0.98% +1.91% +1.57% +4.60% -0.70% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:18 $34.44 +0.70% +1.15% +2.26% +0.68% -2.41% +3.08% -0.46% +0.30% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:10 $37.48 -4.43% -4.72% -5.92% -5.63% -5.04% +0.69% -2.96% +0.29% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:27 $41.76 +0.95% -0.36% +0.53% +0.37% -4.14% +4.07% -1.70% -0.08% WIN
2025-01-16 09:28:22 $42.11 -0.59% -1.67% -3.56% -3.02% -2.64% +1.76% -0.93% +0.57% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ DJT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.7% win rate and -0.49% average gain, DJT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DJT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze DJT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DJT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DJT historically offers an average upside of +4.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DJT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.7%, DJT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DJT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DJT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.49%). This suggests DJT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.