Latest signal:
DOW Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 23 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-03
⚠️ Small sample size (23 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, DOW alerts reach +0.93% profit potential within 94 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.54%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, DOW typically reaches +0.93% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS
How DOW compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical DOW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | 09:29:59 | $38.2 | -2.13% | -3.21% | -3.19% | -1.18% | -2.15% | +0.26% | -0.73% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:25:40 | $39.69 | -1.75% | -3.12% | -5.17% | -3.67% | -2.87% | +0.23% | - | -0.93% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:27:58 | $41.43 | -0.92% | -1.33% | -1.57% | -1.65% | -1.38% | -0.22% | -0.41% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-09 | 09:29:14 | $43.77 | -3.08% | -1.53% | -1.65% | -0.39% | -2.38% | +0.62% | -0.96% | +0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:27:36 | $49.64 | -0.04% | -0.62% | -0.54% | -0.47% | -1.35% | +0.16% | -0.42% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-12 | 09:27:14 | $50.6 | +0.06% | -0.73% | -1.59% | -1.19% | -0.67% | +0.61% | +0.06% | +0.16% | WIN |
| 2024-05-07 | 09:27:08 | $57.59 | +0.02% | +0.18% | +0.16% | -0.16% | +1.34% | +2.67% | -0.38% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:26:48 | $57.0 | +0.51% | +1.05% | +0.58% | +0.04% | -0.68% | +1.21% | - | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:28:04 | $57.1 | +0.28% | +0.18% | +0.86% | +0.06% | -0.28% | +0.97% | -0.07% | +0.47% | WIN |
| 2023-06-14 | 09:26:00 | $53.48 | -0.10% | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.37% | -1.25% | +0.71% | -0.13% | +0.15% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-28 | 09:27:00 | $53.5 | +0.47% | +0.79% | +0.90% | +1.71% | +1.68% | +2.64% | -0.62% | -0.49% | WIN |
| 2023-02-21 | 09:29:00 | $57.97 | -0.43% | -0.34% | -0.98% | -0.95% | -1.95% | -0.16% | -0.55% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-26 | 09:27:00 | $56.85 | +0.19% | +0.86% | -0.92% | -0.02% | +2.23% | +3.03% | -1.79% | -0.33% | WIN |
| 2022-12-27 | 09:25:00 | $51.0 | +0.04% | -0.35% | -0.14% | +0.39% | +0.37% | +0.43% | -0.49% | -0.18% | WIN |
| 2022-11-29 | 09:25:00 | $50.35 | -0.64% | +0.05% | +0.02% | +0.30% | +0.60% | +0.94% | -0.93% | -0.20% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-14 | 09:25:00 | $47.85 | -0.08% | -1.55% | -2.11% | -2.70% | -1.63% | +0.06% | -0.08% | -0.50% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-13 | 09:25:00 | $49.2 | -0.51% | +0.30% | +0.42% | -1.10% | -2.70% | +0.85% | -1.20% | -0.91% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-29 | 09:25:00 | $52.87 | +0.17% | +0.26% | +1.20% | +1.28% | +1.32% | +2.16% | -0.62% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2022-08-22 | 09:25:00 | $54.54 | -0.30% | -0.68% | -0.64% | -1.05% | -0.24% | +0.29% | -1.17% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2022-07-21 | 09:25:00 | $50.47 | +0.59% | +0.19% | +1.27% | +0.04% | +1.84% | +1.92% | -1.03% | +0.20% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ DOW Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.8% win rate and -0.32% average gain, DOW alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider DOW for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze DOW with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DOW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, DOW historically offers an average upside of +0.93% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 DOW Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.8%, DOW shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests DOW may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: DOW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.32%). This suggests DOW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.