FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$DOW

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.2% at 5-min n=46 2022-02-02 → 2026-09-28

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 46 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 20, 2019 🔗 www.dow.com
💰 Market Cap: $20.20B 👥 Employees: 34,600
Dow is one of the largest plastics and chemicals producers in the world, ranking in the top five for upstream plastics production, such as polyethylene, or PE, and polypropylene, or PP. It has three reportable segments: packaging and specialty plastics (P&SP), industrial intermediates and infrastructure (II&I), and performance materials and coatings (PM&C). The company traces its roots to 1897 with the founding of the Dow Chemical Company. After a long history of chemical production, Dow strategically merged with DuPont in 2017. In 2019, Dow, DuPont, and Corteva were split to enhance operational focus on the assets of the chemical conglomerate.
Total alerts
46
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
52.2%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.08%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.47%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading DOW on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.2%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.66%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +2.13%
Worst: -3.08%
Trades: 24/22

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +1.92%
Worst: -3.88%
Trades: 21/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -1.76%
Best: +2.08%
Worst: -5.38%
Trades: 20/26

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.51%
Best: +3.50%
Worst: -4.09%
Trades: 16/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.0%
Avg Gain: -0.39%
Avg Winner: +1.99%
Avg Loser: -1.78%
Best: +8.13%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 17/29

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.47%
Best MFE: +8.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 86 min

On average, DOW alerts reach +1.47% profit potential within 86 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.58%
Worst MAE: -3.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 46 alerts, DOW typically reaches +1.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 46
Gap Up % 47.8%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.69%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS

How DOW compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DOW: -0.08% Sector: -0.03% -0.05%
EOD Gain
DOW: -0.39% Sector: -0.04% -0.35%
Avg MFE
DOW: +1.47% Sector: +2.68% -1.21%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DOW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $28.5 -1.46% -1.37% -1.25% -0.51% -2.14% +0.00% +0.00% -0.68% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $30.35 -0.68% -2.92% -4.17% -4.05% -3.13% +0.26% +0.10% -0.99% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $31.69 -0.45% -1.38% -2.20% -2.56% -4.19% +0.01% -0.71% -0.43% LOSS
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $30.75 -0.03% +0.65% +0.65% +1.02% +1.04% +1.46% -0.39% -0.20% LOSS
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $30.42 +0.71% -0.69% -1.78% -3.24% -2.47% +0.85% -0.05% +0.62% WIN
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $31.94 +1.72% +0.99% +0.09% -1.41% -3.26% +2.47% -0.97% -0.44% WIN
2026-06-12 09:25:00 $33.33 +0.34% -0.25% +0.58% +2.32% +1.57% +2.59% -1.73% -0.02% WIN
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $35.53 -1.59% -0.41% -1.09% -1.13% -2.07% -0.02% -2.38% -1.59% LOSS
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $37.48 -0.29% -1.05% -1.07% -0.52% -1.63% +0.44% -0.48% +0.08% LOSS
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $38.05 +0.05% +0.22% -0.22% -0.07% +1.18% +2.26% -1.22% +0.05% WIN
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $40.4 +0.42% +1.65% +1.31% +1.79% +0.99% +2.66% -0.24% +0.10% WIN
2026-04-23 09:25:00 $38.99 +2.00% -2.98% -3.82% -4.09% -1.18% +2.72% +0.54% +1.00% WIN
2026-04-16 09:25:00 $39.1 +0.91% +1.24% +1.76% +0.68% +2.10% +2.33% +0.49% +1.02% WIN
2026-04-08 09:25:00 $36.33 +0.12% +1.11% +1.70% +1.16% +8.13% +8.31% -1.59% +0.81% WIN
2026-04-06 09:25:00 $39.93 +2.13% +1.92% +0.15% +0.88% +1.58% +2.85% -0.42% +1.30% WIN
2026-04-02 09:25:00 $42.25 -0.69% -0.89% -1.42% -1.94% -2.01% +0.33% +0.24% -0.31% LOSS
2026-04-01 09:25:00 $40.9 +1.10% +0.64% +0.59% -1.23% -0.51% +2.09% +0.00% +1.69% WIN
2026-03-26 09:25:00 $39.72 +0.08% -0.13% +0.15% +0.25% -0.63% +1.20% -0.85% -0.25% WIN
2026-03-13 09:25:00 $37.67 -1.06% -2.12% -1.25% -1.70% -2.79% +0.29% +0.21% +0.08% LOSS
2026-03-12 09:25:00 $35.61 +1.23% +1.57% +2.08% +3.50% +5.53% +5.81% -0.28% +0.39% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ DOW Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.2% win rate, DOW has -0.08% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making DOW profitable.

🔧 Fix DOW Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze DOW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DOW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DOW historically offers an average upside of +1.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DOW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.2%, DOW shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.88%) outweigh average wins (+0.66%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: DOW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.08%). This suggests DOW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.