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DRVN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-13 → 2023-08-03

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-AUTOMOTIVE REPAIR, SERVICES & PARKING (SIC 7500)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 15, 2021 🔗 www.drivenbrands.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.66B 👥 Employees: 10,700
Driven Brands Holdings Inc is an automotive services company in North America. Its platform provides high-quality services to an extensive range of retail and commercial customers. The company provides an extensive range of core consumer and commercial automotive needs, including paint, collision, glass, and repair services, as well as a variety of high-frequency services, such as oil changes and car washes. The company segments include: Maintenance, Car Wash, Paint, Collision & Glass, and Platform Services. It derives maximum revenue from Maintenance Segment. Geographically, the company operates into United States, Canada and Rest of the World.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.49%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+5.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.29%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -0.29%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.49%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.74%
Worst: +1.24%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.77%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.79%
Worst: +1.76%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.42%
Avg Winner: +3.42%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.58%
Worst: +3.26%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.62%
Avg Winner: +3.62%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.76%
Worst: +2.48%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.95%
Best MFE: +7.95%
Avg Time to MFE: 178 min

On average, DRVN alerts reach +5.95% profit potential within 178 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.31%
Worst MAE: -2.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.31%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, DRVN typically reaches +5.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.79%
Best Gap +1.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-AUTOMOTIVE REPAIR, SERVICES & PARKING

How DRVN compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
DRVN: -0.00% Sector: -0.26% +0.25%
EOD Gain
DRVN: +3.62% Sector: -0.21% +3.83%
Avg MFE
DRVN: +5.95% Sector: +4.91% +1.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical DRVN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-03 09:28:00 $15.35 -0.29% +1.24% +1.76% +3.26% +4.76% +7.95% -2.21% +0.13% LOSS
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $31.88 +0.29% +1.74% +1.79% +3.58% +2.48% +3.95% -0.41% +1.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on DRVN

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push DRVN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize DRVN Strategy →

Why Analyze DRVN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DRVN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, DRVN historically offers an average upside of +5.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 DRVN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, DRVN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show DRVN performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.49%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.