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ED Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 β†’ 2025-02-11

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NYSE πŸ“… IPO: Jun 21, 1948 πŸ”— www.conedison.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $37.49B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 15,097
Con Ed is a holding company for Consolidated Edison of New York, or CECONY, and Orange & Rockland, or O&R. These utilities provide steam, natural gas, and electricity to customers in southeastern New Yorkβ€”including New York Cityβ€”and small parts of New Jersey. The two utilities generate nearly all of Con Ed's earnings following the sale of its clean energy business to RWE in early 2023.
πŸ“Š
11
Total Alerts
🎯
54.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
πŸ’°
-0.04%
Avg Gain (EOD)
πŸš€
+0.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.32%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +0.25%
Worst: -1.03%
Trades: 4/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +0.50%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 3/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +0.79%
Worst: -1.10%
Trades: 5/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: -1.74%
Trades: 5/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +0.74%
Worst: -1.12%
Trades: 6/4

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.53%
Best MFE: +1.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, ED alerts reach +0.53% profit potential within 113 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.47%
Worst MAE: -1.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.12:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, ED typically reaches +0.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 36.4%
Avg Gap -0.07%
Best Gap +0.94%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How ED compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ED: -0.32% Sector: -0.07% -0.25%
EOD Gain
ED: -0.04% Sector: -0.02% -0.02%
Avg MFE
ED: +0.53% Sector: +0.96% -0.44%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical ED alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-11 09:29:58 $96.88 -0.99% -1.01% -0.85% -0.56% -0.59% -0.15% -1.17% -0.32% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:29:15 $89.93 -0.56% -0.33% -0.96% -0.47% -0.29% -0.04% -0.42% -0.04% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:28:08 $96.5 +0.13% -0.11% -0.01% +0.01% +0.12% +0.40% -0.11% - WIN
2024-11-18 09:26:00 $96.45 -0.65% -0.02% +0.23% -0.48% - +0.51% -0.65% -0.43% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:26:17 $99.46 -0.41% -0.65% -0.80% -0.68% +0.36% +0.39% -1.12% -0.45% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:29:17 $103.44 +0.01% +0.22% +0.18% +0.33% +0.56% +0.97% -0.14% +0.23% WIN
2024-09-11 09:27:10 $105.0 -1.03% -1.09% -1.10% -1.74% -1.12% -0.24% -1.02% -0.45% LOSS
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $85.0 -0.16% -0.22% +0.38% +0.26% -0.71% +0.51% -0.36% +0.01% LOSS
2022-01-07 09:25:00 $85.37 -0.41% -0.66% -0.86% -0.21% +0.35% +0.82% -1.02% -0.41% LOSS
2022-01-06 09:25:00 $85.25 +0.25% +0.50% +0.22% +0.46% +0.14% +1.06% +0.84% +0.94% WIN
2022-01-05 09:25:00 $84.92 +0.25% +0.49% +0.79% +1.07% +0.74% +1.57% +0.04% +0.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ED Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 54.5% win rate, ED has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ED profitable.

πŸ”§ Fix ED Risk/Reward β†’

Why Analyze ED with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ED. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ED historically offers an average upside of +0.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š ED Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, ED shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.68%) outweigh average wins (+0.38%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ED shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.04%). This suggests ED is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.