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EGP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-11 → 2025-01-21

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

EastGroup Properties Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 10, 1972 🔗 www.eastgroup.net
💰 Market Cap: $9.66B 👥 Employees: 101
EastGroup Properties Inc is an equity real estate investment trust. It is engaged in the development, acquisition, and operation of industrial properties in Sunbelt markets throughout the United States, predominantly in the states of Florida, Texas, Arizona, California, and North Carolina. The company manages a portfolio of industrial properties. The vast majority of these properties are multi-tenant business distribution buildings that provide large warehousing and office space for customers. The group has one reportable segment, which is industrial properties. The company derives its revenue in the form of rental income.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-1.68%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.95%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.12%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: -0.03%
Worst: -4.20%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.68%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -3.78%
Best: +0.41%
Worst: -3.78%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.31%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -3.74%
Best: +1.12%
Worst: -3.74%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.32%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.32%
Best: -3.32%
Worst: -3.32%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.29%
Best: -0.11%
Worst: -0.48%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.95%
Best MFE: +1.60%
Avg Time to MFE: 237 min

On average, EGP alerts reach +0.95% profit potential within 237 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.23%
Worst MAE: -4.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.23%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.43:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, EGP typically reaches +0.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -2.23%
Best Gap -0.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How EGP compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EGP: -4.20% Sector: -0.14% -4.06%
EOD Gain
EGP: -0.11% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.82%
Avg MFE
EGP: +0.31% Sector: +2.11% -1.81%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EGP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-21 09:26:32 $169.99 -4.20% -3.78% -3.74% -3.32% -0.11% +0.31% -4.27% -4.27% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:29 $176.0 -0.03% +0.41% +1.12% - -0.48% +1.60% -0.19% -0.19% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ EGP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.68% average gain, EGP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EGP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze EGP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EGP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EGP historically offers an average upside of +0.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EGP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, EGP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EGP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: EGP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.68%). This suggests EGP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.