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EPR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-28 → 2023-11-14

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 18, 1997 🔗 www.eprkc.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.12B 👥 Employees: 55
EPR Properties is a real estate investment trust that focuses on underwriting experiential property investments on key industry and property cash flow criteria, and the credit metrics of tenants and customers. The company invests in two property segments: Experiential, including theaters, family entertainment centers, ski resorts, and other attractions; and Education, including early childhood education centers and private school properties. The Company's business is focused on Experiential real estate. The majority of revenue comes from the Experiential sector.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.02%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.46%
Worst: +0.57%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.72%
Avg Winner: +2.72%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.80%
Worst: +1.64%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.30%
Avg Winner: +3.30%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.09%
Worst: +2.50%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.11%
Avg Winner: +3.11%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.52%
Worst: +1.70%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.05%
Avg Winner: +2.05%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.62%
Worst: +0.48%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.91%
Best MFE: +5.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 54 min

On average, EPR alerts reach +3.91% profit potential within 54 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +1.45%
Worst MAE: +0.57%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.45%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.69:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.69x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, EPR typically reaches +3.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.74%
Best Gap +2.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How EPR compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EPR: +2.02% Sector: -0.14% +2.16%
EOD Gain
EPR: +2.05% Sector: +296893.71% -296891.66%
Avg MFE
EPR: +3.91% Sector: +2.11% +1.80%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EPR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-14 09:25:00 $44.46 +3.46% +3.80% +4.09% +4.52% +3.62% +5.11% +2.34% +2.34% WIN
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $47.62 +0.57% +1.64% +2.50% +1.70% +0.48% +2.72% +0.57% +1.13% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on EPR

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EPR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EPR Strategy →

Why Analyze EPR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EPR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EPR historically offers an average upside of +3.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EPR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, EPR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EPR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.