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ESE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-21 → 2022-06-21

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 19, 1990 🔗 www.escotechnologies.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.70B 👥 Employees: 3,425
ESCO Technologies Inc sells engineered products and systems for utility, industrial, aerospace, and commercial applications. The firm operates in three segments: Aerospace & Defense (A&D), Utility Solutions Group (USG), and RF Test & Measurement (Test). The Aerospace and Defense segment designs and manufactures specialty filtration and naval products. The USG segment provides diagnostic testing solutions. The Test segment provides its customers with the ability to identify, measure, and contain magnetic, electromagnetic, and acoustic energy.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.86%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.86%
Avg Winner: +0.86%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.86%
Worst: +0.86%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: -0.38%
Worst: -0.38%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: -0.92%
Worst: -0.92%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.80%
Best MFE: +1.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 75 min

On average, ESE alerts reach +1.80% profit potential within 75 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.60%
Worst MAE: -0.60%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.97:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.97x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, ESE typically reaches +1.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.86%
Best Gap +0.86%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, NEC

How ESE compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ESE: +0.00% Sector: -0.60% +0.60%
EOD Gain
ESE: +0.00% Sector: +1012.79% -1012.79%
Avg MFE
ESE: +0.00% Sector: +9.94% -9.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ESE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-06-21 09:25:00 $62.85 +0.86% -0.38% - - -0.92% +1.80% -0.60% +0.86% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ESE

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ESE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ESE Strategy →

Why Analyze ESE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ESE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ESE historically offers an average upside of +1.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ESE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ESE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ESE performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.86%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.