Latest signal:
ESPR Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 93 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-25 → 2025-01-28
⚠️ Small sample size (93 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ESPR alerts reach +5.22% profit potential within 117 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.14%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 93 alerts, ESPR typically reaches +5.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
How ESPR compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ESPR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-28 | 09:25:20 | $2.02 | -0.25% | -2.48% | -1.93% | -1.49% | -3.47% | +0.99% | -0.49% | -0.49% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:28:18 | $2.16 | -0.46% | -3.01% | -3.24% | -3.70% | +4.63% | +5.56% | -5.09% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:29:59 | $2.29 | -1.31% | -2.62% | -3.71% | -1.75% | -3.49% | +2.18% | +0.55% | +0.87% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-18 | 09:27:09 | $2.47 | -4.09% | -6.07% | -5.87% | -8.51% | -12.55% | -0.81% | -2.02% | -2.83% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-17 | 09:28:14 | $2.44 | +1.66% | +2.25% | +2.46% | +2.46% | +0.82% | +4.10% | -3.69% | -0.41% | WIN |
| 2024-12-16 | 09:29:11 | $2.28 | +1.32% | +2.19% | +2.85% | +2.61% | +2.19% | +6.58% | -3.07% | - | WIN |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:28:03 | $2.19 | +2.51% | -12.79% | -5.03% | -3.20% | +2.74% | +3.65% | -15.98% | -0.46% | WIN |
| 2024-12-12 | 09:29:17 | $2.73 | -3.66% | -7.14% | -8.24% | -7.33% | -6.59% | -0.37% | -5.13% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-27 | 09:28:42 | $2.58 | -2.52% | -2.71% | -1.36% | -2.13% | -1.55% | +1.16% | - | +0.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-25 | 09:26:07 | $2.5 | +1.60% | +2.40% | +2.80% | +4.00% | +2.80% | +4.60% | +0.40% | +0.80% | WIN |
| 2024-11-18 | 09:25:17 | $2.13 | -0.23% | +0.47% | -0.47% | -1.41% | +0.94% | +2.58% | -3.29% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-11-07 | 09:29:38 | $2.02 | +3.47% | +2.72% | +0.63% | +4.21% | +4.46% | +5.94% | -7.43% | +0.49% | WIN |
| 2024-08-13 | 09:28:40 | $1.86 | -2.42% | -1.88% | +0.81% | +2.42% | -3.23% | +3.23% | -2.96% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-12 | 09:26:20 | $1.94 | -4.63% | -1.58% | -0.48% | -1.55% | -5.15% | +3.09% | -7.73% | -4.12% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:28:50 | $1.94 | -2.84% | -2.09% | -1.80% | -2.64% | +8.76% | +9.28% | -4.64% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:26:21 | $2.12 | -1.65% | - | -1.18% | -0.24% | -2.83% | +2.36% | -1.89% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-30 | 09:29:17 | $2.37 | -1.27% | -1.48% | -3.38% | -4.01% | -2.11% | +0.42% | -0.84% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-24 | 09:29:42 | $2.31 | +1.31% | +1.73% | +3.03% | +3.90% | +1.30% | +6.49% | - | +0.43% | WIN |
| 2024-07-17 | 09:26:48 | $2.66 | -3.20% | -1.17% | +1.32% | +1.32% | -1.50% | +2.82% | -3.38% | -0.75% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-09 | 09:29:24 | $2.41 | -0.45% | -0.41% | +1.87% | +3.94% | +2.49% | +9.54% | -1.24% | -0.41% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ESPR Shows Negative Expectancy
With 43.0% win rate and -1.21% average gain, ESPR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ESPR for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ESPR with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ESPR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ESPR historically offers an average upside of +5.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ESPR Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 43.0%, ESPR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ESPR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ESPR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.21%). This suggests ESPR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.