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EVRG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-12-05 → 2024-09-25

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 01, 1949 🔗 www.evergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.42B 👥 Employees: 4,731
Evergy is a regulated electric utility serving eastern Kansas and western Missouri. Major operating subsidiaries include Evergy Metro, Evergy Kansas Central, Evergy Missouri West, and Evergy Transmission. The utility has a combined rate base of more than $20 billion, about half in Kansas and the rest split between Missouri and interstate transmission. Evergy is one of the largest wind energy suppliers in the US.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.31%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +0.33%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 2/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +0.63%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 2/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +1.03%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 2/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +0.75%
Worst: -1.44%
Trades: 2/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.95%
Worst: -1.40%
Trades: 5/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.84%
Best MFE: +3.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 148 min

On average, EVRG alerts reach +0.84% profit potential within 148 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.58%
Worst MAE: -1.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.44:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, EVRG typically reaches +0.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +0.42%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED

How EVRG compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EVRG: -0.26% Sector: -0.07% -0.19%
EOD Gain
EVRG: +0.31% Sector: -0.02% +0.33%
Avg MFE
EVRG: +0.84% Sector: +0.96% -0.12%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EVRG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-25 09:29:52 $61.71 +0.19% +0.36% +0.24% +0.06% +0.06% +0.57% -0.42% +0.42% WIN
2024-09-04 09:28:27 $59.91 +0.33% +0.63% +1.03% +0.75% +0.50% +1.40% - - WIN
2024-08-29 09:26:28 $58.77 -0.09% -0.22% -0.73% -0.12% -0.10% +0.10% -0.19% +0.10% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:27:16 $58.41 - -0.04% -0.19% -0.03% -0.05% +0.46% -0.49% -0.12% -
2024-04-05 09:25:51 $52.68 -0.61% -0.97% -1.21% -1.44% -0.91% -0.38% -0.91% -0.66% LOSS
2024-02-08 09:28:02 $49.31 -0.51% -0.65% -0.81% -0.75% -1.40% -0.39% -0.61% -0.39% LOSS
2023-12-13 09:29:00 $51.8 -0.54% -0.60% -0.52% -0.15% +2.95% +3.07% -1.33% -0.85% LOSS
2023-12-12 09:28:00 $51.78 -0.68% -0.79% -1.00% -0.82% -0.83% +0.39% -0.15% +0.39% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $51.46 -0.69% -0.54% -0.17% -0.06% +0.95% +1.07% -1.16% -0.31% LOSS
2023-12-05 09:26:00 $50.24 -0.02% -0.48% -0.27% -0.12% +1.93% +2.14% -0.58% -0.20% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on EVRG

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EVRG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EVRG Strategy →

Why Analyze EVRG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EVRG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EVRG historically offers an average upside of +0.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EVRG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, EVRG shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EVRG performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.