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EXC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 33 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-01-31
⚠️ Small sample size (33 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EXC alerts reach +0.84% profit potential within 132 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.34%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.45x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 33 alerts, EXC typically reaches +0.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
How EXC compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical EXC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 | 09:29:32 | $40.07 | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.35% | -0.14% | -0.17% | +0.40% | -0.45% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:25:38 | $39.46 | -0.20% | -0.73% | -0.56% | -0.80% | -0.56% | +0.28% | -1.01% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:27:27 | $38.32 | +0.21% | +0.68% | +0.82% | +0.60% | -0.47% | +1.07% | +0.18% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2024-12-02 | 09:26:31 | $39.65 | -0.45% | -1.19% | -2.50% | -3.17% | -3.23% | -0.23% | -0.23% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-28 | 09:29:23 | $40.3 | +0.07% | +0.37% | +0.25% | +0.19% | -0.17% | +0.51% | -0.32% | -0.32% | WIN |
| 2024-10-14 | 09:26:44 | $39.83 | -0.16% | -0.15% | +0.10% | +0.51% | +0.25% | +0.67% | -0.30% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-27 | 09:28:08 | $40.09 | +0.05% | +0.30% | +0.55% | +0.89% | +0.72% | +1.17% | -0.09% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2024-09-25 | 09:29:56 | $40.22 | -0.40% | -0.42% | -0.78% | -1.12% | -0.57% | +0.02% | -0.57% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-09-05 | 09:29:53 | $39.24 | -0.41% | -0.56% | -0.73% | -1.04% | -2.09% | +0.03% | -0.38% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-28 | 09:29:54 | $37.88 | -0.45% | +0.13% | +0.41% | +0.17% | +0.03% | +1.04% | -0.63% | -0.44% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-24 | 09:27:03 | $36.04 | +0.17% | +0.97% | +0.40% | +0.29% | +1.19% | +1.35% | -0.11% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2024-07-22 | 09:25:24 | $36.19 | -0.14% | -0.08% | -0.27% | +0.15% | +0.17% | +0.28% | -0.41% | +0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-01 | 09:25:54 | $34.75 | -0.03% | +0.03% | +0.03% | -1.05% | -0.58% | +0.32% | -0.39% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-08 | 09:27:49 | $37.98 | -0.97% | -0.76% | -0.59% | -0.17% | -0.42% | +0.08% | -1.09% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-01 | 09:28:07 | $37.61 | -0.21% | -0.82% | -0.80% | -1.08% | -1.01% | +0.24% | -0.29% | +0.24% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:26:53 | $36.92 | -0.51% | -0.28% | -0.27% | -0.80% | +0.11% | +0.43% | -1.06% | +0.22% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-29 | 09:28:29 | $36.0 | +0.11% | +0.49% | +0.44% | +0.01% | -0.44% | +0.78% | -1.06% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2023-12-06 | 09:27:00 | $38.66 | +0.23% | +0.30% | +0.47% | +0.75% | +1.94% | +2.04% | -0.08% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2023-12-05 | 09:28:00 | $38.93 | -0.62% | -1.36% | -1.26% | -1.40% | -1.10% | -0.28% | -0.44% | -0.36% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-22 | 09:27:00 | $38.97 | -0.64% | -0.13% | -0.12% | -0.18% | -0.28% | +0.24% | -0.15% | +0.03% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ EXC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 48.5% win rate and -0.04% average gain, EXC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EXC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze EXC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXC historically offers an average upside of +0.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 EXC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 48.5%, EXC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EXC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: EXC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.04%). This suggests EXC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.