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EXR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-04 → 2025-01-24

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Extra Space Storage, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 12, 2004 🔗 www.extraspace.com
💰 Market Cap: $30.04B 👥 Employees: 8,012
Extra Space Storage is a fully integrated real estate investment trust that owns, operates, and manages almost 4,000 self-storage properties in 42 states, with over 300 million net rentable square feet of storage space. Of these properties, approximately one half is wholly owned, while some facilities are owned through joint ventures and others are owned by third parties and managed by Extra Space Storage in exchange for a management fee.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
83.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.53%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.41%
Worst: -0.73%
Trades: 5/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.69%
Avg Winner: +1.79%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +3.15%
Worst: -0.73%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.78%
Avg Winner: +1.51%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +3.33%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 4/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +1.22%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +3.21%
Worst: -0.43%
Trades: 5/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.32%
Avg Winner: +2.36%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +4.45%
Worst: -1.37%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.12%
Best MFE: +4.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 166 min

On average, EXR alerts reach +2.12% profit potential within 166 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.23%
Worst MAE: -1.03%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.23%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

9.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, EXR typically reaches +2.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.52%
Best Gap +2.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How EXR compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EXR: +0.53% Sector: -0.14% +0.67%
EOD Gain
EXR: +1.32% Sector: +296893.71% -296892.39%
Avg MFE
EXR: +2.12% Sector: +2.11% +0.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EXR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-24 09:27:42 $151.28 +0.36% +0.49% +0.19% +0.30% +0.50% +1.16% +0.01% +0.01% WIN
2024-03-08 09:25:49 $144.19 +2.41% +3.15% +3.33% +3.21% +4.45% +4.88% +2.27% +2.41% WIN
2023-07-21 09:29:00 $148.1 -0.73% -0.36% -0.15% -0.43% -1.37% -0.06% -1.03% -0.55% LOSS
2023-04-03 09:25:00 $152.78 +0.18% -0.13% +0.79% +0.92% +1.13% +2.05% -0.82% -0.01% WIN
2023-03-14 09:27:00 $157.59 +0.19% -0.73% -1.21% +0.57% -0.14% +1.21% +0.30% +0.30% WIN
2022-10-04 09:25:00 $173.6 +0.77% +1.72% +1.76% +2.73% +3.38% +3.50% +0.65% +0.94% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 83.3% Baseline on EXR

The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push EXR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize EXR Strategy →

Why Analyze EXR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXR historically offers an average upside of +2.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EXR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, EXR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show EXR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.53%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.