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FLUT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-02 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 29, 2024 🔗 www.flutter.com
💰 Market Cap: $30.65B 👥 Employees: 27,345
In 2016, Irish company Paddy Power merged with UK firm Betfair to form online gaming operator Flutter Entertainment. Today, Flutter has the top digital revenue share in the US, UK and Ireland, Australia, Italy, and many other countries. Some of its leading brands are FanDuel in the US, Sky Betting & Gaming and Paddy Power in the UK and Ireland, Sportsbet (acquired by Paddy Power beginning in 2009) in Australia, and Sisal in Italy. As of Dec. 31, 2024, the company offered products in over 100 countries and had 13.9 million average monthly users. In 2024, sports betting was 56% of revenue, online gaming 40%, and fantasy sports, horse racing, and other 4%. The company is scheduled to launch a predictive sports betting platform in late 2025.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
48.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.21%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +2.36%
Worst: -1.32%
Trades: 13/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +1.66%
Worst: -1.58%
Trades: 12/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -2.08%
Trades: 12/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +2.11%
Worst: -2.10%
Trades: 13/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.76%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +3.85%
Worst: -3.93%
Trades: 9/18

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.21%
Best MFE: +4.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, FLUT alerts reach +1.21% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.34%
Worst MAE: -1.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, FLUT typically reaches +1.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 59.3%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.96%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How FLUT compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FLUT: +0.08% Sector: -0.08% +0.15%
EOD Gain
FLUT: -0.26% Sector: +7112.19% -7112.46%
Avg MFE
FLUT: +1.21% Sector: +3.14% -1.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FLUT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:27:26 $264.99 -1.14% -0.85% -0.21% -0.46% -0.87% -0.14% -1.15% -0.42% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:25:23 $282.01 -0.07% -0.58% -0.65% -0.61% -1.41% +0.32% +0.03% +0.24% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:27:46 $279.73 +0.37% +0.11% +0.53% +0.33% +1.04% +1.07% -0.03% +0.03% WIN
2024-11-12 09:26:41 $242.03 +0.75% +1.66% +1.43% +2.09% +2.54% +3.02% -0.02% +0.13% WIN
2024-10-30 09:28:35 $239.62 -1.31% -1.02% -1.63% -0.84% -1.18% +1.84% +0.40% +0.96% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:28:02 $225.26 -0.36% -0.72% -0.17% +0.99% +0.33% +1.46% -0.92% -0.11% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:25:56 $234.56 -0.31% -0.48% -0.48% -0.48% -0.95% +0.26% -0.11% +0.06% LOSS
2024-10-14 09:28:57 $231.31 -0.26% -1.44% -1.74% -1.32% -0.54% +0.67% -0.09% +0.19% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:26:35 $237.96 -0.44% -0.58% -0.68% -1.12% -0.29% -0.08% -0.44% -0.08% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:26:57 $249.67 -0.23% -1.23% -1.02% -0.70% -3.93% +1.27% -0.62% -0.10% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:25:19 $231.78 -0.13% -0.50% -0.72% -0.11% -0.93% +0.14% -0.13% +0.06% LOSS
2024-09-09 09:27:42 $214.82 +0.38% +0.89% +1.01% +1.41% +2.09% +2.50% -0.23% -0.20% WIN
2024-09-03 09:28:36 $212.06 -0.03% +0.08% -0.02% +0.81% -0.53% +1.28% -0.49% +0.19% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:25:07 $213.71 -0.07% -0.90% -1.05% -1.40% -2.04% +0.09% -0.15% +0.09% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:28:18 $209.0 +2.09% +1.56% +0.33% -1.19% -1.01% +2.96% -0.21% +0.05% WIN
2024-08-13 09:29:27 $184.3 +2.36% +1.07% +0.19% +1.06% +3.85% +4.21% -0.61% -0.10% WIN
2024-08-01 09:25:06 $200.05 -0.59% -0.17% -1.29% -1.35% -3.46% +0.03% -0.70% -0.10% LOSS
2024-07-19 09:25:51 $197.43 +0.07% +0.31% +0.22% +0.27% +1.78% +2.02% -0.35% -0.04% WIN
2024-07-18 09:25:35 $201.55 +0.27% -0.64% -0.49% +0.45% -0.88% +0.53% -0.77% +0.12% WIN
2024-07-16 09:28:09 $205.98 +0.29% +0.63% +0.63% +0.87% +0.96% +1.53% -0.43% +0.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 48.1% Baseline on FLUT

The 48.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FLUT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FLUT Strategy →

Why Analyze FLUT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FLUT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FLUT historically offers an average upside of +1.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FLUT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.1%, FLUT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FLUT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.