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FR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-11 → 2024-11-20

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 1994 🔗 www.firstindustrial.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.60B 👥 Employees: 151
First Industrial Realty Trust Inc is a real estate investment trust that owns, manages, acquires, sells, develops, and redevelops industrial real estate. Through its fully integrated operating and investing platform, the company provides facilities and customer service to multinational corporations and regional firms that are essential for their supply chains. The company serves a diverse tenant base across various sectors, including e-commerce, logistics, transportation, manufacturing, retail, consumer services, food and beverage, building materials, wholesale goods, health services, and government.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.21%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +0.50%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +0.31%
Worst: -1.13%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -0.50%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: -0.34%
Worst: -0.48%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: -0.42%
Worst: -1.43%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.38%
Best MFE: +0.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 41 min

On average, FR alerts reach +0.38% profit potential within 41 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.63%
Worst MAE: -1.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.61:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, FR typically reaches +0.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.68%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How FR compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FR: -0.21% Sector: -0.14% -0.07%
EOD Gain
FR: -0.92% Sector: +296893.71% -296894.64%
Avg MFE
FR: +0.38% Sector: +2.11% -1.73%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-20 09:25:34 $52.99 -0.91% -1.13% -0.50% -0.48% -0.42% - -1.19% -0.68% LOSS
2022-03-11 09:25:00 $58.57 +0.50% +0.31% +0.56% -0.34% -1.43% +0.77% -0.07% +0.68% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ FR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.21% average gain, FR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider FR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze FR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FR historically offers an average upside of +0.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, FR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests FR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: FR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.21%). This suggests FR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.