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GCT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 50 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-19 → 2024-12-20

⚠️ Small sample size (50 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GigaCloud Technology Inc Class A Ordinary Shares RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES (SIC 5961)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 18, 2022 🔗 www.gigacloudtech.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.56B 👥 Employees: 1,561
GigaCloud Technology Inc provides end-to-end and B2B e-commerce solutions for large parcel merchandise. Its B2B e-commerce platform, which is referred to as the GigaCloud Marketplace, integrates everything from discovery, payments, and logistics tools into one easy-to-use platform. It offers online and offline integrated cross-border transaction and delivery services for furniture and large merchandise. Its marketplace seamlessly connects manufacturers in Asia, with resellers in the U.S., Asia, and Europe, to execute cross-border transactions with confidence, speed, and efficiency. It offers a truly comprehensive solution that transports products from the manufacturer's warehouse to end customers, all at one fixed price.
📊
50
Total Alerts
🎯
44.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.57%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+11.03%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.57%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -2.53%
Best: +7.75%
Worst: -8.26%
Trades: 22/28

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.0%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +6.36%
Avg Loser: -3.89%
Best: +24.17%
Worst: -11.93%
Trades: 17/33

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +6.06%
Avg Loser: -5.41%
Best: +33.60%
Worst: -16.77%
Trades: 21/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 32.0%
Avg Gain: -0.77%
Avg Winner: +8.65%
Avg Loser: -5.36%
Best: +41.40%
Worst: -24.93%
Trades: 16/33

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +13.63%
Avg Loser: -8.55%
Best: +82.13%
Worst: -34.85%
Trades: 19/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.03%
Best MFE: +127.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 82 min

On average, GCT alerts reach +11.03% profit potential within 82 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.44%
Worst MAE: -12.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 50 alerts, GCT typically reaches +11.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 50
Gap Up % 30.0%
Avg Gap -0.65%
Best Gap +3.12%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How GCT compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GCT: -0.69% Sector: -0.09% -0.60%
EOD Gain
GCT: -1.80% Sector: +4.48% -6.29%
Avg MFE
GCT: +8.65% Sector: +3.91% +4.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GCT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-20 09:29:56 $17.26 +2.55% +3.96% +2.64% +4.46% +3.88% +4.92% +0.81% +0.93% WIN
2024-12-10 09:29:46 $22.88 -0.35% -2.10% -2.10% -3.50% -3.89% +1.35% -0.13% +0.04% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:26:59 $23.27 +0.32% +1.78% +4.13% +1.83% -0.47% +5.67% -2.02% -0.58% WIN
2024-12-06 09:25:33 $22.25 -1.03% -1.42% -1.28% -3.28% -0.22% +1.12% -3.33% -0.67% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:28:10 $26.3 -1.52% -1.75% -1.17% -1.27% -3.08% -0.64% -0.64% -0.65% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:29:38 $25.41 +7.75% -0.12% +5.02% +5.65% +9.92% +10.59% -1.18% +0.35% WIN
2024-07-12 09:29:59 $30.72 +0.21% -2.86% -0.62% -1.61% -1.11% +0.98% -1.58% -0.68% WIN
2024-05-28 09:27:28 $31.43 +0.16% -1.97% -3.28% -1.62% -2.58% +0.76% -0.54% +0.10% WIN
2024-05-22 09:26:16 $26.83 +4.57% -2.16% +0.63% +4.51% +11.18% +11.63% -6.00% -1.90% WIN
2024-05-09 09:27:29 $41.15 -7.46% -11.93% -12.32% -12.27% -3.48% -0.12% -3.86% -0.49% LOSS
2024-04-23 09:28:19 $38.14 -0.04% -3.02% -3.75% -3.88% -2.99% +2.75% -0.37% -0.37% LOSS
2024-04-22 09:29:07 $35.23 -2.55% -2.00% +0.28% -0.45% +5.28% +5.58% -3.38% -0.94% LOSS
2024-04-19 09:28:46 $37.15 -2.59% -3.18% -2.69% -4.36% -6.62% +0.62% -5.18% -1.05% LOSS
2024-04-17 09:28:14 $36.29 -3.24% -0.17% -2.51% -5.40% -3.66% +1.27% -4.63% -1.21% LOSS
2024-04-15 09:27:43 $34.02 +1.23% -4.48% -6.88% -5.03% -4.56% +2.09% -1.93% -1.93% WIN
2024-04-05 09:25:45 $34.85 -0.24% +3.30% +0.55% +2.55% -0.29% +4.33% -1.55% -1.55% LOSS
2024-04-04 09:26:01 $36.94 +0.05% +2.95% +0.43% +0.87% -9.10% +3.44% -1.25% -1.25% WIN
2024-04-03 09:26:47 $34.12 +2.24% +2.32% +2.02% +4.89% +4.48% +8.29% -1.38% -1.23% WIN
2024-04-02 09:26:27 $30.96 -1.20% -0.84% -1.39% -0.44% +7.40% +8.83% -4.58% -0.84% LOSS
2024-03-28 09:26:38 $28.12 -2.43% +2.52% +0.32% -1.01% -4.98% +2.70% -3.38% -0.43% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GCT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.0% win rate and -0.57% average gain, GCT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GCT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GCT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GCT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GCT historically offers an average upside of +11.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GCT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.0%, GCT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GCT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GCT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.57%). This suggests GCT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.