Latest signal:
GERN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 45 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-04 → 2024-12-31
⚠️ Small sample size (45 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, GERN alerts reach +4.92% profit potential within 102 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.06%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.39x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 45 alerts, GERN typically reaches +4.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
How GERN compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical GERN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-31 | 09:25:32 | $3.43 | +1.17% | +0.87% | +1.75% | +1.75% | +3.21% | +4.08% | -0.87% | -0.58% | WIN |
| 2024-11-07 | 09:28:52 | $4.47 | -0.67% | -3.92% | -5.03% | -3.92% | -4.03% | +0.67% | -2.91% | +0.67% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-24 | 09:25:46 | $4.27 | +0.70% | +0.94% | +3.28% | -0.12% | +0.47% | +5.62% | -1.17% | -0.47% | WIN |
| 2024-06-18 | 09:28:11 | $4.64 | -2.69% | -2.12% | -4.09% | -5.39% | -3.23% | +0.65% | -0.43% | +0.43% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-11 | 09:25:53 | $4.96 | +0.60% | +1.41% | +1.52% | +4.95% | +2.62% | +7.46% | +0.20% | +0.81% | WIN |
| 2024-06-10 | 09:26:41 | $4.59 | +1.42% | +1.74% | +0.98% | +5.77% | +9.80% | +10.57% | -1.74% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2024-06-07 | 09:26:59 | $4.52 | +2.41% | +9.73% | +7.52% | +3.32% | +1.55% | +13.94% | -3.54% | -1.33% | WIN |
| 2024-04-30 | 09:26:33 | $4.09 | -1.71% | -0.73% | -2.69% | -2.81% | -3.91% | +0.73% | -4.16% | -1.71% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-29 | 09:26:11 | $3.85 | +1.56% | +3.90% | +2.99% | +3.90% | +7.53% | +11.69% | -2.08% | +0.78% | WIN |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:28:24 | $3.36 | - | - | -0.15% | +0.15% | +2.38% | +4.76% | -2.68% | -0.60% | - |
| 2024-04-08 | 09:25:22 | $3.35 | -1.49% | -1.04% | -1.04% | -1.94% | -0.60% | +0.60% | -1.79% | -0.90% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-28 | 09:27:11 | $3.32 | -0.60% | -0.46% | -0.15% | -1.36% | -0.60% | +0.60% | -1.51% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-03-20 | 09:29:01 | $3.27 | -0.92% | -2.29% | +1.18% | +1.83% | +5.20% | +6.73% | -3.06% | -1.53% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-19 | 09:27:58 | $3.22 | -0.78% | -3.14% | -1.32% | +3.73% | +1.24% | +5.75% | -4.97% | +0.62% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-18 | 09:26:24 | $3.39 | -5.31% | -6.79% | -6.49% | -3.39% | -6.34% | +1.42% | -0.89% | -1.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-15 | 09:28:30 | $3.02 | +2.98% | +1.32% | +3.97% | +12.25% | +11.26% | +15.56% | -0.66% | -0.66% | WIN |
| 2023-12-12 | 09:26:00 | $1.95 | -1.32% | -2.05% | -2.56% | -1.04% | +1.03% | +1.54% | -4.10% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-12-11 | 09:25:00 | $2.1 | -2.05% | -3.81% | -5.48% | -8.33% | -8.10% | -1.43% | -2.05% | -1.43% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:29:00 | $2.11 | -8.06% | -10.43% | -9.48% | -11.85% | -11.85% | - | -4.27% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-01 | 09:25:00 | $1.93 | +1.04% | -2.07% | -2.59% | -1.55% | - | +1.30% | -2.59% | -1.04% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ GERN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 42.2% win rate and -0.23% average gain, GERN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GERN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze GERN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GERN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, GERN historically offers an average upside of +4.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 GERN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 42.2%, GERN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GERN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: GERN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.23%). This suggests GERN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.