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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$GERN

Trade-Ideas alerts 41.4% at 15-min n=58 2022-02-04 → 2026-09-10

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 58 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 1996 🔗 www.geron.com
💰 Market Cap: $771.0M 👥 Employees: 258
Geron Corp is a biopharmaceutical company focused on blood cancers. Its telomerase inhibitor, RYTELO (imetelstat), is approved in the United States and European Union for certain adult patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR-MDS) with transfusion-dependent anemia. RYTELO inhibits telomerase activity in malignant stem and progenitor cells, which may reduce abnormal cell proliferation while supporting the production of healthy cells. It is also conducting a Phase 3 trial of imetelstat in patients with JAK-inhibitor-refractory or relapsed myelofibrosis (R/R MF) and studies in other hematologic malignancies. The company operates as a single segment, being the development of therapeutic products for oncology.
Total alerts
58
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
41.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.26%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.00%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading GERN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable GERN setups

Historical GERN setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 32.8%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +1.68%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: -8.06%
Trades: 19/34

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +3.13%
Avg Loser: -2.74%
Best: +14.17%
Worst: -10.43%
Trades: 24/33

30MIN

Win Rate: 37.9%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +4.23%
Avg Loser: -3.04%
Best: +18.33%
Worst: -9.48%
Trades: 22/35

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +4.00%
Avg Loser: -3.63%
Best: +15.22%
Worst: -11.85%
Trades: 24/32

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 39.7%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +6.69%
Avg Loser: -5.04%
Best: +33.33%
Worst: -17.61%
Trades: 23/33

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.00%
Best MFE: +35.83%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, GERN alerts reach +5.00% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.21%
Worst MAE: -6.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 58 alerts, GERN typically reaches +5.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 58
Gap Up % 24.1%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +3.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How GERN compares to 456 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GERN: -0.50% Sector: -0.28% -0.23%
EOD Gain
GERN: -0.21% Sector: +2912438.65% -2912438.87%
Avg MFE
GERN: +5.00% Sector: +7.28% -2.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GERN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $1.39 -0.72% -1.44% -1.01% +1.08% -1.44% +1.08% -2.16% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $1.53 -0.65% -3.92% -3.27% -4.58% -0.65% +1.31% -5.88% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $1.59 +1.26% -1.89% -2.45% +0.00% -1.26% +1.89% +0.00% +0.63% WIN
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $1.38 +3.67% +8.06% +15.94% +15.22% +18.12% +18.12% -3.62% -0.72% WIN
2026-06-23 09:25:00 $1.32 +0.68% +1.04% -0.01% +0.01% +2.27% +3.03% -2.27% +0.00% WIN
2026-06-10 09:25:00 $1.12 -1.34% +1.34% +0.45% -0.89% -1.79% +1.79% -1.43% -0.89% LOSS
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $1.67 -1.62% -2.40% -3.29% -2.99% -5.39% +3.29% -5.99% -0.60% LOSS
2026-02-25 09:25:00 $1.66 +0.01% -3.31% +8.43% +3.92% +3.61% +10.84% -6.02% +1.20% WIN
2026-02-19 09:25:00 $1.92 +2.86% +1.82% -1.30% -0.78% +0.00% +4.69% -1.04% +1.04% WIN
2026-02-18 09:25:00 $1.79 +0.00% -0.28% +1.40% +1.40% +8.38% +9.22% -1.68% +0.00% LOSS
2026-01-14 09:25:00 $1.31 +1.15% +0.38% -0.38% +0.00% +3.05% +3.05% -2.18% +0.00% WIN
2026-01-13 09:25:00 $1.43 +0.00% -2.80% -2.80% -3.85% -8.39% +0.70% +0.00% +0.70% LOSS
2026-01-12 09:25:00 $1.35 -1.85% -1.59% -1.11% +2.22% +5.93% +9.63% -2.96% +0.00% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:25:32 $3.43 +1.17% +0.87% +1.75% +1.75% +3.21% +4.08% -0.87% -0.58% WIN
2024-11-07 09:28:52 $4.47 -0.67% -3.92% -5.03% -3.92% -4.03% +0.67% -2.91% +0.67% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:25:46 $4.27 +0.70% +0.94% +3.28% -0.12% +0.47% +5.62% -1.17% -0.47% WIN
2024-06-18 09:28:11 $4.64 -2.69% -2.12% -4.09% -5.39% -3.23% +0.65% -0.43% +0.43% LOSS
2024-06-11 09:25:53 $4.96 +0.60% +1.41% +1.52% +4.95% +2.62% +7.46% +0.20% +0.81% WIN
2024-06-10 09:26:41 $4.59 +1.42% +1.74% +0.98% +5.77% +9.80% +10.57% -1.74% -0.22% WIN
2024-06-07 09:26:59 $4.52 +2.41% +9.73% +7.52% +3.32% +1.55% +13.94% -3.54% -1.33% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ GERN Shows Negative Expectancy

With 41.4% win rate and -0.26% average gain, GERN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GERN for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GERN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GERN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GERN historically offers an average upside of +5.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GERN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 41.4%, GERN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GERN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GERN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.26%). This suggests GERN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.