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GOVX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 140 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-22 → 2025-01-02

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 01, 1995 🔗 www.geovax.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.5M 👥 Employees: 17
Geovax Labs Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing human vaccines and immunotherapies against infectious diseases and solid tumor cancers using novel proprietary platforms. GeoVax's product pipeline includes ongoing human clinical trials for a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine and a gene-directed therapy against head and neck cancers. Additional research and development programs include preventive vaccines against Monkeypox (MPox), hemorrhagic fever viruses (Ebola Zaire, Ebola Sudan, Marburg, and Lassa), and Zika virus, as well as immunotherapies for multiple solid tumors. The Company's key clinical program is GEO-CM04S1, a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine.
📊
140
Total Alerts
🎯
61.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+539.65%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+12.72%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +2.49%
Avg Loser: -2.02%
Best: +13.67%
Worst: -7.77%
Trades: 62/74

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +4.65%
Avg Loser: -3.25%
Best: +36.84%
Worst: -12.76%
Trades: 71/67

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: +0.84%
Avg Winner: +6.13%
Avg Loser: -3.60%
Best: +53.72%
Worst: -18.68%
Trades: 61/72

60MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: +0.68%
Avg Winner: +7.46%
Avg Loser: -3.75%
Best: +84.71%
Worst: -13.60%
Trades: 53/81

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.4%
Avg Gain: +539.65%
Avg Winner: +882.53%
Avg Loser: -7.22%
Best: +2573.08%
Worst: -31.84%
Trades: 86/48

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.72%
Best MFE: +132.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 104 min

On average, GOVX alerts reach +12.72% profit potential within 104 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.26%
Worst MAE: -14.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.91:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.91x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 140 alerts, GOVX typically reaches +12.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 10.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 140
Gap Up % 33.6%
Avg Gap -0.39%
Best Gap +5.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How GOVX compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GOVX: +0.07% Sector: -0.32% +0.39%
EOD Gain
GOVX: +553.39% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479857.83%
Avg MFE
GOVX: +13.04% Sector: +7.56% +5.48%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GOVX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-02 09:28:30 $2.55 -1.96% -1.96% -3.14% -6.27% -2.75% +1.96% -1.96% -0.39% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:21 $2.59 -3.28% -3.09% +1.16% -1.14% +0.39% +3.47% -4.71% - LOSS
2024-11-19 09:26:33 $2.98 -1.51% -1.01% -3.36% -1.01% -2.35% +3.69% -6.04% -2.68% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:29:00 $2.48 +5.65% +4.03% +2.82% +9.27% +22.18% +25.81% +0.01% +0.81% WIN
2024-11-13 09:28:30 $2.7 -6.63% -8.89% -8.49% -5.00% - +3.70% -14.44% -2.22% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:28:54 $3.67 -7.77% -5.99% -12.53% -12.26% -11.44% +0.82% -9.26% -0.55% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:25:14 $2.1 -1.99% -5.24% -5.29% -3.81% +49.52% +54.76% -9.52% -1.43% LOSS
2024-10-24 09:25:40 $2.15 -1.12% -0.47% +1.40% +0.47% -0.47% +1.40% -2.33% +0.93% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:26:39 $2.15 -2.34% -2.15% -2.80% -4.18% -2.33% +3.25% -5.12% -1.86% LOSS
2024-08-29 09:25:37 $4.88 -0.41% -3.69% -8.61% -5.71% +1.43% +2.15% -10.86% +0.20% LOSS
2024-08-28 09:28:06 $6.17 +3.24% +0.13% +2.79% -0.57% -18.96% +5.35% -3.57% -2.27% WIN
2024-08-27 09:27:36 $6.39 +0.16% +2.35% -0.31% -3.76% -6.57% +7.36% -1.25% -1.25% WIN
2024-08-26 09:27:50 $6.55 +3.51% +6.07% -1.45% -1.98% +0.76% +16.79% -6.41% -0.92% WIN
2024-08-23 09:26:33 $7.76 -3.80% +2.64% +4.25% -0.76% -17.65% +6.70% -4.51% +0.10% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:25:58 $9.0 +4.21% -10.94% -3.70% -6.41% -18.67% +6.22% -2.22% +2.22% WIN
2024-08-21 09:26:10 $5.55 -1.61% +9.01% +20.72% +10.97% +50.45% +61.80% -2.52% -0.90% LOSS
2024-08-20 09:27:33 $5.32 +6.01% +13.91% +13.53% +4.92% +6.77% +19.74% -1.32% +0.94% WIN
2024-08-19 09:29:50 $10.49 -7.02% -5.78% -8.96% -6.20% -31.84% +6.58% -11.25% -0.38% LOSS
2024-08-16 09:29:18 $3.66 +2.39% +15.85% +16.94% +46.18% +92.90% +132.24% -0.55% -0.55% WIN
2024-08-15 09:26:22 $3.73 -4.56% -5.39% -11.80% -13.60% -10.19% +10.46% -9.38% -1.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 61.4% Baseline on GOVX

The 61.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GOVX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GOVX Strategy →

Why Analyze GOVX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GOVX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GOVX historically offers an average upside of +12.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GOVX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.4%, GOVX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GOVX performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +539.65%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.