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GRI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 39 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-08-23 → 2025-02-04

⚠️ Small sample size (39 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GRI Bio, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 24, 2023 🔗 www.gribio.com
💰 Market Cap: $107,957 👥 Employees: 4
GRI Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biotech company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies targeting serious diseases associated with dysregulated immune responses that to inflammatory, fibrotic, and autoimmune disorders. GRI Bio's program, GRI-0621, is a small molecule RAR-beta and gamma dual agonist that inhibits the activity of human NKT I cells, returning the immune system to homeostasis. It is also an oral formulation of tazarotene, a synthetic RAR-beta and gamma selective agonist for the topical treatment of psoriasis and acne. The company's other product candidate GRI-0803 is a novel oral agonist of type 2 Natural Killer T (type 2 NKT) cells which can be a potential treatment for autoimmune disorders.
📊
39
Total Alerts
🎯
74.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+12662.56%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+12.33%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.9%
Avg Gain: -2.47%
Avg Winner: +1.36%
Avg Loser: -4.62%
Best: +3.87%
Worst: -16.00%
Trades: 14/25

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.1%
Avg Gain: -3.63%
Avg Winner: +3.12%
Avg Loser: -7.29%
Best: +10.45%
Worst: -23.20%
Trades: 13/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 28.2%
Avg Gain: -4.35%
Avg Winner: +5.73%
Avg Loser: -8.32%
Best: +26.76%
Worst: -40.27%
Trades: 11/28

60MIN

Win Rate: 21.6%
Avg Gain: -5.55%
Avg Winner: +4.16%
Avg Loser: -9.18%
Best: +19.30%
Worst: -40.80%
Trades: 8/26

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 74.4%
Avg Gain: +12662.56%
Avg Winner: +17031.17%
Avg Loser: -7.14%
Best: +138902.50%
Worst: -13.33%
Trades: 29/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +12.33%
Best MFE: +74.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, GRI alerts reach +12.33% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.44%
Worst MAE: -20.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 39 alerts, GRI typically reaches +12.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 39
Gap Up % 41.0%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +7.11%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How GRI compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GRI: -2.42% Sector: -0.32% -2.10%
EOD Gain
GRI: +13681.73% Sector: +4480411.22% -4466729.49%
Avg MFE
GRI: +12.69% Sector: +7.56% +5.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GRI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-04 09:29:34 $0.55 -3.79% +1.08% +4.69% -0.72% -3.72% +11.90% -4.78% -0.72% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:28 $0.89 -0.16% -0.16% -3.51% -5.25% +1552.51% +6.59% -9.12% +0.98% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:05 $0.94 +0.51% -1.06% -1.06% -1.06% +1.06% +2.33% -1.06% +0.53% WIN
2024-11-04 09:29:57 $1.24 -4.03% -5.60% -5.14% -8.47% +1325.81% - -4.03% -3.23% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:26:07 $0.94 -1.11% +2.96% +26.76% +19.30% +1891.90% +43.80% -2.10% -0.42% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:27:49 $0.8 +0.50% -2.50% -3.92% +3.24% +9.75% +38.75% -8.75% -1.27% WIN
2024-10-30 09:28:30 $0.69 -2.00% -6.44% -6.15% -5.06% +1937.83% +33.35% -8.67% -4.17% LOSS
2024-10-28 09:26:25 $0.71 +0.11% -2.01% -1.39% -1.37% -4.73% +2.68% -4.13% +2.68% WIN
2024-10-24 09:28:33 $0.79 +1.27% +0.01% +2.28% +1.14% +4.14% +8.86% -5.06% -1.65% WIN
2024-10-23 09:27:51 $0.93 -6.70% -9.68% -10.75% -14.02% -13.33% +0.90% -4.30% +0.90% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:25:02 $1.0 +2.42% -6.30% -8.98% -1.00% -3.00% +4.00% -10.90% +1.00% WIN
2024-10-21 09:29:10 $1.69 -8.88% -19.11% -21.89% -17.17% +1227.81% +5.92% -3.55% -1.18% LOSS
2024-10-18 09:26:26 $0.48 -0.81% -1.01% -3.42% -7.62% +21.77% +36.47% -11.40% +0.23% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:28:44 $0.44 +0.57% +1.14% -0.68% +1.93% +11.14% +22.73% -4.32% +2.27% WIN
2024-10-16 09:29:31 $0.41 -4.88% -2.78% +6.24% +1.59% +1824.32% +33.78% -7.32% - LOSS
2024-10-10 09:28:24 $0.4 -1.25% -0.05% -5.70% - -4.27% +6.22% -20.02% -0.03% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:25:07 $0.44 -0.07% +4.41% +2.32% -6.82% +1561.36% +9.09% -1.59% - LOSS
2024-10-08 09:28:09 $0.39 -2.86% -8.18% -9.61% -8.72% +1611.70% +6.91% -17.01% +0.71% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:29:52 $0.48 -3.79% -6.25% -11.46% -12.50% +1659.15% +6.25% -15.65% -2.38% LOSS
2024-08-30 09:25:50 $0.5 +3.08% - +0.40% +0.36% +1.52% +4.00% +3.08% +3.10% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 74.4% Baseline on GRI

The 74.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push GRI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize GRI Strategy →

Why Analyze GRI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GRI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GRI historically offers an average upside of +12.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GRI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 74.4%, GRI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show GRI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +12662.56%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.