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GRWG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2024-05-01

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 10, 2016 🔗 www.growgeneration.com
💰 Market Cap: $86.8M 👥 Employees: 306
GrowGeneration Corp owns and operates specialty retail hydroponic and organic gardening stores. The firm is a marketer and distributor of nutrients, growing media, indoor and greenhouse lighting, ventilation systems and accessories for hydroponic gardening. The Company has two reportable segments, including Cultivation and Gardening segment, composed of the Company's hydroponic and organic gardening business; and the Storage Solutions segment, composed of the Company's benching, racking, and storage solutions business.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.80%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.23%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.82%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +2.08%
Worst: -4.95%
Trades: 3/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +3.49%
Avg Loser: -4.39%
Best: +7.28%
Worst: -5.72%
Trades: 4/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.55%
Avg Winner: +6.36%
Avg Loser: -3.32%
Best: +13.58%
Worst: -7.07%
Trades: 4/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.83%
Avg Winner: +10.45%
Avg Loser: -5.58%
Best: +21.56%
Worst: -11.40%
Trades: 4/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -1.31%
Avg Winner: +15.88%
Avg Loser: -5.60%
Best: +19.75%
Worst: -13.43%
Trades: 2/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.23%
Best MFE: +26.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 85 min

On average, GRWG alerts reach +7.23% profit potential within 85 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.37%
Worst MAE: -6.21%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.37%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.05:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.05x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, GRWG typically reaches +7.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap +0.06%
Best Gap +2.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-BUILDING MATERIALS, HARDWARE, GARDEN SUPPLY

How GRWG compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
GRWG: -0.82% Sector: -0.41% -0.41%
EOD Gain
GRWG: -1.31% Sector: -4.25% +2.94%
Avg MFE
GRWG: +7.23% Sector: +2.35% +4.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical GRWG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-01 09:25:37 $2.83 -4.95% -4.97% -7.07% -9.87% -13.43% - -4.53% -1.06% LOSS
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $5.3 +2.08% +0.75% +3.02% +6.23% -0.38% +11.13% -2.26% - WIN
2022-10-07 09:25:00 $4.26 -0.70% -4.20% -1.61% -2.23% -5.87% +3.99% -3.29% +0.70% LOSS
2022-08-05 09:25:00 $4.05 -0.49% +7.28% +13.58% +21.56% +19.75% +26.67% -2.22% +0.25% LOSS
2022-05-11 09:25:00 $3.9 -2.82% -1.92% +2.82% +5.64% -1.54% +7.69% -3.85% -0.51% LOSS
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $10.67 -1.42% -5.72% -6.47% -11.40% -9.65% +2.16% +0.84% +0.19% LOSS
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $8.0 -0.25% - -1.81% -2.62% -6.38% +2.25% -0.88% -0.62% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $8.49 +0.53% +4.24% +6.01% +8.36% +12.01% +14.37% -0.12% +2.36% WIN
2022-01-14 09:25:00 $9.58 -0.72% +1.67% -0.57% -3.13% -2.14% +1.98% -1.20% -0.73% LOSS
2022-01-13 09:25:00 $10.47 +0.57% -5.16% -2.39% -4.20% -5.44% +2.10% -6.21% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ GRWG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.80% average gain, GRWG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider GRWG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze GRWG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for GRWG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, GRWG historically offers an average upside of +7.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 GRWG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, GRWG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests GRWG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: GRWG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.80%). This suggests GRWG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.