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HCAT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-30 → 2023-05-10

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 25, 2019 🔗 www.healthcatalyst.com
💰 Market Cap: $159.1M 👥 Employees: 1,500
Health Catalyst Inc provides data and analytics technology and services to healthcare organizations. It has two operating segments. The Technology segment, the key revenue driver, includes data platforms, analytics applications, and support services. This generates revenues mainly from contracts that are cloud-based subscription arrangements, time-based license arrangements, and maintenance and support fees; the Professional Services segment is generally the combination of analytics, implementation, strategic advisory, outsourcing, and improvement services to deliver expertise to its customers to more fully configure and utilize the benefits of the technology offerings.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.13%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.13%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -3.61%
Best: +1.35%
Worst: -3.61%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.84%
Avg Winner: +3.72%
Avg Loser: -7.41%
Best: +3.72%
Worst: -7.41%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -2.23%
Avg Winner: +4.31%
Avg Loser: -8.76%
Best: +4.31%
Worst: -8.76%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -2.62%
Avg Winner: +2.54%
Avg Loser: -7.77%
Best: +2.54%
Worst: -7.77%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.78%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.78%
Best: -2.62%
Worst: -10.93%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.04%
Best MFE: +4.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 10 min

On average, HCAT alerts reach +3.04% profit potential within 10 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.06%
Worst MAE: -0.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

47.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 47.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, HCAT typically reaches +3.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.27%
Best Gap +1.44%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How HCAT compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HCAT: -1.13% Sector: -0.08% -1.05%
EOD Gain
HCAT: -6.78% Sector: +7112.19% -7118.97%
Avg MFE
HCAT: +3.04% Sector: +3.14% -0.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HCAT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-05-10 09:27:00 $11.07 -3.61% -7.41% -8.76% -7.77% -10.93% +1.17% -0.63% -0.90% LOSS
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $11.83 +1.35% +3.72% +4.31% +2.54% -2.62% +4.90% +0.76% +1.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HCAT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.13% average gain, HCAT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HCAT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HCAT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HCAT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HCAT historically offers an average upside of +3.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HCAT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, HCAT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HCAT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HCAT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.13%). This suggests HCAT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.