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HIMS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 138 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-20 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 21, 2021 🔗 www.forhims.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.74B 👥 Employees: 1,637
Hims & Hers, launched in 2017, is a telehealth platform that connects patients and healthcare providers to offer treatment options for specialties like erectile dysfunction, hair loss, skin care, mental health, and weight loss. Its offerings include generic, branded, and compounded prescription drugs as well as over-the-counter medicines, cosmetics, and supplements. The platform, which has more than 2 million subscribers, is available in all 50 states and certain European markets like the UK. It includes provider networks, electronic medical records, cloud pharmacy fulfillment, and personalization capabilities. Hims does not take insurance and only accepts payments directly from customers.
📊
138
Total Alerts
🎯
55.1%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.79%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.69%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +4.99%
Worst: -8.36%
Trades: 63/75

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +2.84%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +11.34%
Worst: -8.76%
Trades: 71/67

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +0.62%
Avg Winner: +3.36%
Avg Loser: -2.54%
Best: +16.18%
Worst: -11.55%
Trades: 74/64

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.1%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +3.91%
Avg Loser: -3.04%
Best: +17.51%
Worst: -15.93%
Trades: 76/62

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +4.56%
Avg Loser: -3.98%
Best: +24.56%
Worst: -19.57%
Trades: 73/64

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.69%
Best MFE: +27.60%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, HIMS alerts reach +4.69% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.97%
Worst MAE: -11.76%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.38:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.38x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 138 alerts, HIMS typically reaches +4.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 138
Gap Up % 37.7%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +7.07%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-OFFICES & CLINICS OF DOCTORS OF MEDICINE

How HIMS compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HIMS: -0.21% Sector: -0.15% -0.06%
EOD Gain
HIMS: +0.57% Sector: +0.11% +0.45%
Avg MFE
HIMS: +4.69% Sector: +4.44% +0.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HIMS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:24 $60.25 -2.07% +1.56% +2.21% +2.70% +0.37% +7.62% -2.70% -0.38% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:55 $47.51 +2.86% +4.99% +11.03% +15.43% +24.56% +25.34% -0.77% +0.04% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:14 $42.4 +2.01% +1.85% +2.00% +5.34% +9.29% +9.66% -0.02% +1.42% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:32 $44.25 +0.77% -0.68% +0.86% -0.47% -1.51% +2.01% -0.31% -0.16% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:41 $43.3 -3.70% -1.49% -0.37% +2.40% +3.39% +4.34% -4.61% -0.16% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:04 $40.95 +2.72% +7.12% +10.37% +11.66% +3.91% +12.36% +0.10% +1.29% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:12 $41.98 +1.33% +1.67% +0.55% +2.00% -3.60% +2.81% -0.50% -0.19% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:33 $41.9 -0.22% +0.51% +3.22% +3.37% +0.72% +6.04% -0.79% +0.24% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:44 $39.3 -1.85% +0.58% +4.18% +3.73% +6.49% +6.82% -2.34% +0.08% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:18 $35.44 +1.88% +3.99% +4.04% +7.19% +9.85% +12.13% -1.24% -1.21% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:34 $29.59 +0.81% +2.43% +3.94% +6.43% +3.11% +7.71% -1.66% -1.01% WIN
2025-01-24 09:25:12 $30.65 +1.66% +1.17% +0.39% +2.64% +0.72% +4.63% +0.01% +1.14% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:16 $29.88 -1.47% -0.95% +0.65% -1.77% -0.54% +1.04% -3.58% -0.50% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:45 $28.81 +1.48% +0.66% -0.80% +0.66% +3.47% +4.13% -2.78% -0.45% WIN
2025-01-17 09:27:05 $27.53 -4.00% -4.26% -2.69% -5.78% +1.16% +2.03% -7.16% +0.58% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:38 $27.9 -3.23% -1.61% -2.80% -1.18% +0.14% +2.80% -4.48% +0.68% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:41 $27.12 +0.89% -0.41% +1.33% +1.31% +2.73% +3.06% -4.35% +0.44% WIN
2025-01-14 09:26:27 $26.0 -1.58% +1.69% +0.54% +2.06% +0.81% +2.27% -1.85% -0.38% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:26:30 $24.69 -1.22% +2.03% +4.98% +3.06% +4.90% +6.84% -1.94% +0.32% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:27 $24.45 +0.33% +2.33% +2.41% +1.15% +3.93% +4.74% -1.55% -1.23% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.1% Baseline on HIMS

The 55.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HIMS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HIMS Strategy →

Why Analyze HIMS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HIMS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HIMS historically offers an average upside of +4.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HIMS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.1%, HIMS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HIMS performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.79%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.