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HL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 244 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.hecla.com
💰 Market Cap: $21.32B 👥 Employees: 1,830
Hecla Mining Co produces and explores silver, gold, zinc, and other metals. The operating business segments are Greens Creek, Lucky Friday, Keno Hill, and Casa Berardi. It generates maximum revenue from the Greens Creek segment. Geographically, It operates in Canada, the United States, and Mexico, and it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
244
Total Alerts
🎯
48.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.10%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +4.48%
Worst: -4.18%
Trades: 107/126

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +7.03%
Worst: -6.03%
Trades: 109/130

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +8.17%
Worst: -6.55%
Trades: 112/124

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +9.38%
Worst: -8.36%
Trades: 112/127

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +2.65%
Avg Loser: -2.69%
Best: +11.51%
Worst: -15.79%
Trades: 117/124

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.53%
Best MFE: +12.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, HL alerts reach +2.53% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.97%
Worst MAE: -5.43%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.6:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 244 alerts, HL typically reaches +2.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 244
Gap Up % 36.9%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +2.62%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MINING & QUARRYING OF NONMETALLIC MINERALS (NO FUELS)

How HL compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HL: -0.03% Sector: -0.04% +0.01%
EOD Gain
HL: -0.10% Sector: +18.85% -18.95%
Avg MFE
HL: +2.53% Sector: +3.76% -1.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:48 $6.46 -2.79% -5.88% -4.80% -8.36% -15.79% -0.15% -2.79% -0.93% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:48 $6.34 -2.05% -1.58% -1.26% -0.79% +0.47% +0.95% -2.52% -0.32% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:25 $6.06 - +0.41% +0.49% -0.33% +3.80% +3.96% -0.83% -0.49% -
2025-02-11 09:28:22 $6.03 - +0.50% +0.08% +0.33% +0.50% +2.32% -0.99% -0.50% -
2025-02-10 09:28:31 $6.08 +0.90% -0.16% -0.08% +0.08% +1.48% +2.30% -0.66% -0.33% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:49 $6.04 +0.33% +0.25% - +0.08% -2.65% +1.66% -1.57% +0.83% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:08 $5.97 -1.00% -1.26% -1.52% -1.00% +0.67% +0.67% -2.18% -0.34% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:45 $5.91 -0.17% +1.27% +1.78% +2.12% +0.68% +3.38% -0.34% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:21 $5.83 +1.29% +0.86% +0.43% +1.97% +0.86% +3.43% -0.51% -0.17% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:03 $5.73 -0.96% -0.35% +2.01% +0.12% +0.52% +4.01% -2.09% -1.57% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:48 $5.66 -0.35% +1.50% +1.68% +3.09% +2.12% +4.59% -0.71% +0.18% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:34 $5.4 +0.65% +0.96% +2.41% +1.44% +1.67% +2.87% -0.09% - WIN
2025-01-27 09:29:20 $5.38 -2.51% -0.84% -1.10% -1.49% -0.93% +0.46% -1.67% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:35 $5.54 +1.08% +0.63% +1.44% +1.71% -0.90% +2.35% - +0.90% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:15 $5.29 +0.19% +0.76% +1.04% +1.51% +1.70% +4.54% -0.76% +0.38% WIN
2025-01-15 09:27:43 $5.53 -1.45% -2.17% -2.35% -3.53% -2.17% +0.90% -0.72% +0.18% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:57 $5.1 -0.95% -1.18% -1.37% -1.37% +0.20% +0.88% -2.16% +0.39% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:16 $5.42 -0.74% -2.03% -2.40% -2.77% -4.06% +0.18% -0.74% -0.74% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:36 $5.2 -0.19% -0.10% -0.24% +0.67% +2.31% +2.88% -1.06% -0.38% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:25:04 $5.1 +2.06% -0.39% +1.18% +0.61% +0.20% +2.55% - +1.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.0% win rate and -0.10% average gain, HL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HL historically offers an average upside of +2.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.0%, HL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.10%). This suggests HL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.