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HLLY Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-21 → 2023-08-16
⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HLLY alerts reach +3.36% profit potential within 41 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 7.48%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, HLLY typically reaches +3.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
How HLLY compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HLLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-16 | 09:29:00 | $6.44 | -4.81% | +0.47% | -1.55% | -1.94% | -4.04% | +1.55% | -4.97% | -0.93% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-12 | 09:25:00 | $5.24 | +1.62% | +2.86% | +0.59% | +1.34% | +1.72% | +10.88% | -2.86% | -0.95% | WIN |
| 2023-02-07 | 09:27:00 | $2.76 | -14.67% | -17.43% | -10.14% | -7.07% | -14.49% | +0.36% | -22.10% | -3.99% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-21 | 09:25:00 | $12.52 | +0.64% | -0.16% | -0.16% | -0.32% | -7.27% | +0.64% | - | - | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ HLLY Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -4.31% average gain, HLLY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HLLY for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze HLLY with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HLLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HLLY historically offers an average upside of +3.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HLLY Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, HLLY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HLLY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HLLY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.31%). This suggests HLLY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.