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HLX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-07-27 → 2023-12-22

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC (SIC 1389)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 01, 1997 🔗 www.helixesg.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.11B 👥 Employees: 2,313
Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is an offshore energy services company. It provides specialty services to the offshore energy industry, with an emphasis on well intervention and robotics operations. Helix provides services in deep water in the Gulf of Mexico, Brazil, the North Sea, Asia Pacific and West Africa regions. It has four segments: Well Intervention, Robotics, Shallow Water Abandonment and Production Facilities. the Well Intervention segment includes vessels and equipment used to perform well intervention services in the Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea and Brazil. It derives the majority of its revenue from the U.S.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
70.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.75%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 70.6%
Avg Gain: +0.75%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: +6.57%
Worst: -4.39%
Trades: 12/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.75%
Avg Winner: +3.15%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +7.18%
Worst: -4.95%
Trades: 8/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.8%
Avg Gain: +0.69%
Avg Winner: +2.57%
Avg Loser: -1.99%
Best: +9.49%
Worst: -4.14%
Trades: 10/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: +0.62%
Avg Winner: +2.93%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +7.66%
Worst: -6.28%
Trades: 9/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +1.24%
Avg Winner: +5.01%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +12.17%
Worst: -3.33%
Trades: 8/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.47%
Best MFE: +12.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, HLX alerts reach +3.47% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.17%
Worst MAE: -2.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

20.08:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 20.08x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, HLX typically reaches +3.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 58.8%
Avg Gap +0.55%
Best Gap +5.60%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC

How HLX compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HLX: +0.75% Sector: +0.06% +0.70%
EOD Gain
HLX: +1.24% Sector: +30.18% -28.95%
Avg MFE
HLX: +3.47% Sector: +3.58% -0.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HLX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-22 09:25:00 $10.73 +1.12% +0.33% +0.42% -0.70% -2.61% +1.40% +0.93% +1.03% WIN
2023-12-20 09:29:00 $10.59 -0.76% -0.05% -0.24% +0.28% -0.66% +2.17% -2.17% -1.32% LOSS
2023-12-18 09:29:00 $9.97 +2.51% +3.86% +3.51% +3.16% +1.71% +4.31% +1.50% +1.60% WIN
2023-12-13 09:29:00 $9.79 -4.39% -4.95% -4.14% -6.28% -2.25% +0.20% -0.10% -1.53% LOSS
2023-10-27 09:29:00 $10.21 -1.08% -1.67% -2.20% -2.50% -3.33% -0.59% -1.67% -1.67% LOSS
2023-10-06 09:26:00 $9.77 +1.84% +2.66% +2.25% +1.94% +2.76% +4.40% - +1.64% WIN
2023-09-28 09:28:00 $11.69 +0.13% -1.11% -0.64% -1.20% -2.65% +0.66% -0.26% -0.26% WIN
2023-07-27 09:26:00 $9.53 +2.05% +0.63% -2.10% +0.42% -1.36% +3.67% - +1.47% WIN
2023-05-12 09:27:00 $6.88 +0.29% -0.29% +0.07% -0.22% -2.18% +0.44% -0.87% -0.87% WIN
2023-04-28 09:28:00 $6.85 +3.43% +3.43% +2.77% +3.50% +5.84% +6.79% +1.17% +2.48% WIN
2023-04-21 09:25:00 $7.65 -0.78% -2.09% -2.03% -1.31% +0.13% +0.33% -2.62% +0.26% LOSS
2023-03-17 09:29:00 $7.39 -3.25% -2.03% -2.57% -3.65% -2.44% -1.76% -2.44% -2.17% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:25:00 $7.51 +0.80% - +0.67% +1.07% +1.33% +4.39% -0.80% - WIN
2022-10-31 09:25:00 $6.42 +1.56% +2.34% +2.49% +6.38% +9.03% +10.75% - +0.93% WIN
2022-09-14 09:25:00 $4.11 +6.57% +7.18% +9.49% +7.66% +12.17% +12.29% +5.35% +5.60% WIN
2022-08-26 09:25:00 $4.46 +0.67% -0.22% +0.78% - -1.57% +1.79% -0.67% +0.67% WIN
2022-07-27 09:25:00 $3.37 +2.08% +4.75% +3.26% +1.93% +7.12% +7.72% -0.30% +1.48% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 70.6% Baseline on HLX

The 70.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HLX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HLX Strategy →

Why Analyze HLX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HLX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HLX historically offers an average upside of +3.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HLX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 70.6%, HLX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HLX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.75%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.