Latest signal:
HNST Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 23 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-25 → 2024-11-25
⚠️ Small sample size (23 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, HNST alerts reach +5.94% profit potential within 124 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.89%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, HNST typically reaches +5.94% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES
How HNST compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical HNST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-25 | 09:27:00 | $8.6 | -0.35% | +0.81% | +2.76% | +1.34% | -0.35% | +4.30% | -3.14% | -1.16% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-18 | 09:26:10 | $7.01 | +0.07% | +3.99% | +0.64% | +1.71% | +2.71% | +5.28% | -4.14% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:26:18 | $6.8 | -1.91% | -4.42% | -2.06% | -5.88% | -4.41% | +0.74% | -0.74% | -0.59% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-13 | 09:27:55 | $5.7 | -1.93% | +2.98% | +3.51% | +9.39% | +5.44% | +14.56% | -5.09% | +1.58% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:29:50 | $4.97 | -1.91% | -5.46% | -5.43% | -3.82% | -3.42% | +1.41% | -2.72% | +0.60% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-11 | 09:28:08 | $4.88 | -6.35% | -5.12% | -4.51% | -2.97% | -0.41% | +0.29% | -7.79% | -1.64% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-10 | 09:29:30 | $3.51 | -3.70% | -3.44% | -2.99% | -1.28% | +2.28% | +2.99% | -5.41% | -3.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-09 | 09:29:05 | $3.9 | -3.83% | +2.18% | +1.28% | +1.79% | -5.64% | +4.87% | -5.90% | +1.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:27:34 | $4.04 | -1.49% | +0.99% | +1.30% | -1.48% | +9.41% | +11.26% | -3.22% | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-07 | 09:26:47 | $4.1 | +3.17% | -5.37% | -9.02% | -3.29% | -4.15% | +19.27% | -0.01% | +2.68% | WIN |
| 2023-12-01 | 09:25:00 | $2.44 | -2.25% | +3.89% | +0.41% | +1.64% | -4.92% | +5.33% | -9.84% | +0.41% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-09 | 09:29:00 | $1.38 | +3.62% | +3.26% | +10.85% | +15.22% | +7.25% | +21.01% | -2.90% | -0.72% | WIN |
| 2023-09-15 | 09:29:00 | $1.14 | +2.64% | +6.58% | +2.19% | -0.88% | +6.14% | +10.53% | -4.82% | - | WIN |
| 2023-03-17 | 09:28:00 | $1.83 | -1.15% | -3.66% | -9.84% | -9.04% | -4.92% | - | -1.09% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-03-16 | 09:26:00 | $2.44 | - | -5.42% | -9.07% | -15.16% | -23.77% | +1.64% | - | -2.46% | - |
| 2023-01-24 | 09:26:00 | $2.83 | -3.29% | -3.54% | -1.41% | -2.83% | -4.24% | -0.71% | -4.59% | -1.77% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-10 | 09:25:00 | $3.3 | -0.61% | -6.71% | -5.15% | -11.97% | -12.42% | +1.21% | - | - | LOSS |
| 2022-08-12 | 09:25:00 | $4.1 | -4.15% | -5.70% | -9.51% | -8.78% | -4.15% | -1.22% | -2.20% | -2.93% | LOSS |
| 2022-07-19 | 09:25:00 | $3.49 | -2.87% | +0.89% | -5.01% | -3.47% | +8.02% | +12.61% | -7.16% | +0.17% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-13 | 09:25:00 | $3.14 | +3.50% | +3.18% | +6.85% | +5.10% | +0.96% | +11.15% | -0.64% | +2.55% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ HNST Shows Negative Expectancy
With 43.5% win rate and -2.03% average gain, HNST alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HNST for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze HNST with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HNST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, HNST historically offers an average upside of +5.94% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 HNST Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 43.5%, HNST shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HNST may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: HNST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -2.03%). This suggests HNST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.