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HOTH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 75 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (75 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Hoth Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 15, 2019 🔗 www.hoththerapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.4M 👥 Employees: 3
Hoth Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing new-generation therapies for unmet medical needs. It is focused on developing a topical formulation for treating side effects from drugs used for the treatment of cancer (HT-001); a treatment for mast-cell derived cancers and anaphylaxis (HT-KIT); and a treatment and/or prevention for Alzheimer's or other neuroinflammatory diseases (HT-ALZ). The company also has assets being developed for atopic dermatitis (also known as eczema) (BioLexa); a treatment for asthma and allergies using inhalational administration (HT-004); and an obesity treatment, and obesity-related diseases and conditions (HT-VA).
📊
75
Total Alerts
🎯
45.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+328.88%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+10.50%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.3%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -3.16%
Best: +14.14%
Worst: -11.62%
Trades: 28/43

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.4%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +7.70%
Avg Loser: -4.77%
Best: +36.38%
Worst: -14.75%
Trades: 24/49

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.0%
Avg Gain: -1.97%
Avg Winner: +8.21%
Avg Loser: -5.75%
Best: +24.31%
Worst: -32.34%
Trades: 20/54

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.8%
Avg Gain: -2.81%
Avg Winner: +6.29%
Avg Loser: -7.46%
Best: +35.26%
Worst: -33.61%
Trades: 25/49

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.9%
Avg Gain: +328.88%
Avg Winner: +725.19%
Avg Loser: -8.18%
Best: +2493.99%
Worst: -38.66%
Trades: 34/39

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.50%
Best MFE: +119.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, HOTH alerts reach +10.50% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.69%
Worst MAE: -34.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 75 alerts, HOTH typically reaches +10.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 75
Gap Up % 37.3%
Avg Gap -0.37%
Best Gap +5.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How HOTH compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HOTH: -0.59% Sector: -0.32% -0.27%
EOD Gain
HOTH: +310.83% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480100.39%
Avg MFE
HOTH: +10.50% Sector: +7.56% +2.94%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HOTH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:47 $1.13 +0.89% -3.98% -8.41% -4.47% -4.42% +1.77% -0.89% - WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:54 $1.62 +0.20% +1.11% -4.44% -10.19% -16.05% +5.56% -4.32% -3.09% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:15 $1.47 +2.07% +4.08% -1.22% -4.76% -3.40% +5.44% - +2.04% WIN
2025-01-15 09:26:42 $1.69 -3.20% -5.33% -6.51% -8.58% -10.65% +1.18% - -0.59% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:27:15 $1.8 +1.75% +1.48% -0.15% -5.21% -13.89% +5.56% +1.67% +5.56% WIN
2025-01-13 09:29:51 $1.81 -11.49% -12.71% -10.50% -5.03% +4.42% +12.71% -14.36% -3.87% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:49 $1.86 +8.45% +30.64% +24.31% +11.85% +2.15% +31.72% - - WIN
2025-01-08 09:28:33 $1.8 -2.78% -12.49% -16.62% -23.33% +5.56% +55.00% -34.99% - LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:51 $1.73 -11.62% -2.89% -9.83% +35.26% +31.79% +119.65% -16.76% -3.47% LOSS
2024-12-26 09:26:26 $0.8 +1.02% -4.66% -5.95% -10.70% -4.44% +3.52% +0.58% +1.85% WIN
2024-11-21 09:29:06 $0.83 -3.80% -4.02% -6.89% -4.52% -0.22% +2.57% -7.51% +0.29% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:27:39 $0.95 -0.22% -3.64% -7.72% -12.04% -12.95% +7.41% -2.38% +0.04% LOSS
2024-10-30 09:27:04 $0.93 +0.66% +2.26% -6.14% -5.05% -2.86% +5.03% -1.08% +0.11% WIN
2024-10-16 09:27:21 $0.83 -0.18% - +1.13% +6.40% +12.08% +14.46% -4.10% -0.67% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:25:32 $0.95 -3.92% -7.37% -8.37% -7.37% -6.68% - -0.15% -2.11% LOSS
2024-09-09 09:25:04 $0.96 +2.07% +5.73% +2.08% -2.11% +3.12% +8.33% -6.25% +1.98% WIN
2024-09-06 09:29:04 $1.08 -3.65% -5.64% -1.74% -3.70% -1.85% +5.56% -0.93% +1.85% LOSS
2024-09-05 09:27:47 $1.1 +4.53% - +17.25% +13.18% +14.55% +36.36% -3.64% +2.73% WIN
2024-08-15 09:29:20 $0.64 -5.01% -7.08% -3.03% +0.05% -3.50% +1.56% +0.25% +1.44% LOSS
2024-07-29 09:29:48 $0.78 +2.96% +2.72% +1.36% +1.78% - +5.74% +2.56% +2.56% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.9% Baseline on HOTH

The 45.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HOTH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HOTH Strategy →

Why Analyze HOTH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOTH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOTH historically offers an average upside of +10.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HOTH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.9%, HOTH shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HOTH performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +328.88%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.