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HOUR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 19 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2024-12-26

⚠️ Small sample size (19 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Hour Loop, Inc. Common Stock RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES (SIC 5961)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 07, 2022 🔗 www.hourloop.com
💰 Market Cap: $63.3M 👥 Employees: 151
Hour Loop Inc is a technology-enabled consumer products company that uses machine learning and data analytics to design, develop, market, and sell products. Hour Loop predominantly operates through online retail channels such as Amazon, Walmart, and Hourloop.com. The Company, as an Internet marketplace seller, sells products in multiple categories, including home/garden decor, toys, kitchenware, apparel, and electronics. It has only one segment, which is online retail (e-commerce).
📊
19
Total Alerts
🎯
47.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+20.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: +7.41%
Worst: -7.62%
Trades: 9/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +5.84%
Avg Loser: -2.98%
Best: +10.00%
Worst: -10.23%
Trades: 7/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: -1.50%
Avg Winner: +8.06%
Avg Loser: -6.40%
Best: +15.14%
Worst: -19.64%
Trades: 6/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.6%
Avg Gain: +3.51%
Avg Winner: +29.17%
Avg Loser: -8.33%
Best: +128.10%
Worst: -20.90%
Trades: 6/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 15.8%
Avg Gain: -2.48%
Avg Winner: +42.80%
Avg Loser: -10.97%
Best: +109.52%
Worst: -45.80%
Trades: 3/16

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +20.75%
Best MFE: +228.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 67 min

On average, HOUR alerts reach +20.75% profit potential within 67 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.02%
Worst MAE: -15.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 19 alerts, HOUR typically reaches +20.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 16.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 19
Gap Up % 26.3%
Avg Gap -0.63%
Best Gap +6.25%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How HOUR compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HOUR: -0.05% Sector: -0.09% +0.04%
EOD Gain
HOUR: -2.48% Sector: +4.48% -6.96%
Avg MFE
HOUR: +20.75% Sector: +3.91% +16.84%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HOUR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-26 09:25:29 $3.92 -1.79% -2.04% -19.64% -20.90% -8.67% +0.77% -11.48% -3.06% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:28:02 $2.1 -7.62% -4.05% +15.14% +128.10% +109.52% +228.57% -15.71% - LOSS
2023-05-15 09:27:00 $1.76 +2.27% +5.11% +3.98% +5.11% +15.34% +16.44% - +6.25% WIN
2023-05-12 09:26:00 $2.29 +1.31% +1.75% -9.11% -12.66% -19.21% +5.68% -3.93% -3.49% WIN
2023-05-03 09:25:00 $2.2 +1.30% -6.37% -5.45% -7.27% -6.36% +2.27% -3.63% -3.18% WIN
2023-05-02 09:26:00 $4.41 +0.91% -0.23% -3.06% -17.75% -45.80% +10.88% -8.84% -4.76% WIN
2022-09-01 09:25:00 $3.7 +2.79% +5.68% +0.81% -8.72% -13.51% +9.73% -0.27% -0.27% WIN
2022-08-31 09:25:00 $4.28 -0.13% +8.64% +8.88% +6.54% -0.70% +19.39% -3.97% -3.04% LOSS
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $3.63 +0.78% -1.38% -3.03% -5.65% -8.26% +1.93% - -0.83% WIN
2022-08-02 09:25:00 $3.65 -0.27% -2.74% -3.56% -4.38% -10.14% - -0.82% -1.37% LOSS
2022-05-03 09:25:00 $3.78 +7.41% +9.52% +4.50% +13.75% -9.79% +17.99% -0.53% +2.91% WIN
2022-03-22 09:25:00 $3.54 +0.99% -1.13% -4.52% -3.99% -3.11% +1.41% -1.13% +0.28% WIN
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $3.7 -2.70% -2.70% -2.06% -1.62% -4.86% +6.49% -7.84% -0.81% LOSS
2022-03-07 09:25:00 $2.56 -1.95% -1.32% -2.98% -7.42% -16.41% +3.91% -4.69% +3.91% LOSS
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $5.47 -1.65% -1.14% - -1.25% -4.39% +5.48% -6.22% -2.74% LOSS
2022-01-13 09:25:00 $5.22 +1.85% +0.16% -4.02% +9.22% -1.92% +18.01% -4.21% -0.38% WIN
2022-01-12 09:25:00 $6.66 -0.83% -2.48% -6.90% -6.76% -13.96% +0.15% -4.65% -1.05% LOSS
2022-01-11 09:25:00 $6.5 -0.46% +10.00% +15.08% +12.31% +3.54% +20.00% -1.54% +0.71% LOSS
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $7.43 -3.10% -10.23% -12.52% -9.96% -8.34% +25.17% -15.88% -1.08% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HOUR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.4% win rate and -0.05% average gain, HOUR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HOUR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HOUR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOUR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOUR historically offers an average upside of +20.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HOUR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.4%, HOUR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HOUR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HOUR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.05%). This suggests HOUR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.