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HOVR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-23 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share AIRCRAFT (SIC 3721)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 16, 2024 🔗 www.horizonaircraft.com
💰 Market Cap: $105.8M 👥 Employees: 30
New Horizon Aircraft Ltd is an aerospace Original Equipment Manufacturer that is designing and building a next-generation hybrid electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft for the regional air mobility market. Its aircraft will offer a more efficient way to move people and goods at a regional scale, help to connect remote communities, and advance its ability to deal with an increasing number of climate-related natural disasters such as wildfires, floods, and droughts. The company aims to deliver a hybrid electric 7-seat aircraft, called the Cavorite X7, that can take off and land vertically like and helicopter.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
55.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.53%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+15.20%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: -2.59%
Best: +11.67%
Worst: -9.48%
Trades: 15/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 29.6%
Avg Gain: -2.59%
Avg Winner: +5.06%
Avg Loser: -5.81%
Best: +19.71%
Worst: -21.10%
Trades: 8/19

30MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -3.61%
Avg Winner: +9.65%
Avg Loser: -7.40%
Best: +26.29%
Worst: -26.18%
Trades: 6/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 24.0%
Avg Gain: -4.10%
Avg Winner: +10.93%
Avg Loser: -8.84%
Best: +27.88%
Worst: -22.55%
Trades: 6/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +2.05%
Avg Winner: +16.84%
Avg Loser: -9.78%
Best: +61.29%
Worst: -42.54%
Trades: 12/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.20%
Best MFE: +104.77%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, HOVR alerts reach +15.20% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.32%
Worst MAE: -29.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, HOVR typically reaches +15.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 55.6%
Avg Gap +0.36%
Best Gap +5.33%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIRCRAFT

How HOVR compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HOVR: +0.63% Sector: -0.19% +0.82%
EOD Gain
HOVR: +1.99% Sector: +8902.10% -8900.11%
Avg MFE
HOVR: +15.92% Sector: +3.61% +12.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HOVR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:28:22 $0.81 -2.04% -7.28% -2.34% -6.66% -5.64% -1.00% -2.36% -1.10% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:45 $0.95 -2.32% -5.26% -5.26% - -5.64% +1.28% -5.26% -5.26% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:44 $1.0 -0.99% -7.00% -8.98% -7.51% +1.00% +2.00% +2.00% - LOSS
2025-01-08 09:25:43 $1.03 -9.48% -2.90% -6.79% -17.99% -0.97% +1.94% -29.13% -0.97% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:29:18 $1.14 - +1.32% -1.75% -6.13% -2.63% +3.51% +0.01% +3.51% -
2025-01-06 09:29:39 $1.2 +3.33% +4.17% +3.33% -1.67% -3.33% +10.00% -0.83% -0.83% WIN
2025-01-03 09:27:01 $1.08 -2.78% -4.63% -1.85% -1.86% +6.48% +11.11% -6.48% +1.85% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:29:36 $1.11 +1.68% +0.69% -2.70% -0.91% -1.80% +6.31% -4.50% +2.70% WIN
2024-12-31 09:27:24 $1.4 -2.82% -10.00% -7.14% -7.50% -19.29% +0.71% - +0.07% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:25:09 $1.58 -1.90% -12.00% -7.51% -15.22% -19.62% +3.16% -1.90% +0.63% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:29:27 $1.2 +11.67% +7.47% -5.03% -9.58% +18.33% +29.17% -15.83% +1.67% WIN
2024-12-26 09:25:57 $0.71 +0.31% -0.72% +4.84% +3.79% +61.29% +104.77% -2.16% +0.98% WIN
2024-12-24 09:25:05 $0.75 +1.27% -1.32% -9.32% -10.65% -2.79% +3.35% +0.75% +1.85% WIN
2024-12-23 09:28:21 $0.75 +4.99% -1.46% -2.02% +8.75% -0.53% +12.49% -5.84% +3.16% WIN
2024-12-09 09:29:52 $0.7 +1.99% +1.40% +2.36% -12.82% -5.86% +2.83% -1.46% -0.03% WIN
2024-12-03 09:29:19 $0.65 +0.38% +1.95% +6.06% +10.62% +24.52% +34.99% -1.61% -1.61% WIN
2024-12-02 09:29:31 $0.82 +0.61% -0.75% -6.67% -3.55% -7.78% +7.88% -0.76% -0.61% WIN
2024-11-29 09:25:05 $0.55 +0.73% +3.75% +15.02% +27.88% +23.61% +44.69% -4.47% -4.47% WIN
2024-11-19 09:28:42 $0.38 +2.63% +19.71% +26.29% +13.25% +18.42% +26.71% - - WIN
2024-11-14 09:25:42 $0.5 -1.01% -3.36% -8.23% -8.86% +4.67% +5.27% -11.43% +2.64% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 55.6% Baseline on HOVR

The 55.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push HOVR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize HOVR Strategy →

Why Analyze HOVR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HOVR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HOVR historically offers an average upside of +15.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HOVR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, HOVR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show HOVR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.53%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.